汉声金业：通胀预期持续升温，黄金维持区间震荡！

上周五晚现货gold短线上涨最高至4740.14dollar/盎司，随后回吐部分涨幅，最终报收4707.29dollar/Ounces, the increase narrowed to0.28%

today(Monday)国际金价开盘在4700.88dollar/盎司，早盘金价短线回落最低至4672.09dollar/盎司，随后震荡回升最高至4723.24dollar/ounce! In the morning, the Shanghai Gold Exchange showed that1034.90element/Ke, the Han Sheng Gold Investment Platform of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange is displayed on4720dollar/Running around ounces.

U.S.A4Final Value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for the Month 49.8, expected48, Previous value47.6。 U.S.A4月一年期通胀率预期终值 4.7%, expected4.80%, Previous value4.80%。

市场对高利率持续时间的关注度明显高于地缘风险本身，尤其是如何评估能源价格上涨对通胀路径的影响，以及是否会调整未来政策预期，使得黄金的上涨空间受到一定限制，整体上金价处于震荡偏弱格局。资金在两种逻辑之间反复切换，导致价格波动加剧但趋势不明朗。

据悉，美国方面已暂停相关外交访问安排，伊朗方面明确表示不会在压力或封锁条件下进行谈判，显示局势短期内难以缓和。同时，以色列加大对黎巴嫩方向的军事行动，中东紧张局势推动能源市场波动，crude oil价格维持高位运行，强化了市场对通胀反弹的担忧。

据分析称，中东地区产量下降影响，由于油价存在净上行风险、成品油价格异常高企、成品油供应短缺风险。据市场估计，中东原油产量减少145010000 barrels/日，导致4月全球原油库存以创纪录的每日1100Wanzhi1200万桶的速度下降。

Short term intraday trading advice:

Let's first look at the gold price4655-4740区间震荡运行，如突破该区间时上行目标看4750-4765, or4772Nearby; The downward target is4645-4635, or4625Near.

Attached is the gold trend chart:

Article source: Hansheng Gold Investment Platform official website Hansheng Gold IndustryAPPReproduced from a clear source.

Kind reminder: The gold market fluctuates greatly, and there are risks involved in investment. Please make cautious decisions within your own risk tolerance range.