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2026year4month24Analysis of the Japanese Gold Market

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2026year4month24daygoldquotations analysis
Fundamentals:
利率预期-U.S.A3月零售销售环比1.7%超预期,强化“高利率维持更久”预期,美债收益率上行、美元走强,压制金价短期表现;地缘与央行-中东局势阶段性缓和,避险需求回落;全球央行连续19个月净购金、中国央行连续17个月增持,构成强支撑。
短期利空与中长期支撑博弈,行情以震荡回调为主。

Technical aspect:
从日线图看,昨日收阴,5/10日均线死叉向下并形成压制,短线偏弱;但未跌破近期关键支撑,中期多头格局未破。
Support:4664(昨日低点), Let's see below4644/4600
Resistance:4740–4743(5Daily moving average+昨日高点), Go up and see4770–4772(10Daily moving average+本周三高点)
日内区间4660–4740,突破后再看延伸方向。

操作建议:回踩到4660/4644企稳后做多,止损4620, Objective4710/4740;反弹到4740附近承压做空,止损4775, Objective4690/4660。
风控:严格止损,控制仓位。


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