Da Tian Global: Suggestions for Spot Gold Operations2026-03-19

　　goods in stockgoldOverview of the current market situation:

　　昨日亚盘金价于5000一线位置开盘，亚盘以及欧盘时段价格维持震荡走势，到了傍晚时段金价开始向下大幅回落，晚间美盘时段金价在触及4835一线位置后，尽管短时间内有所反弹，但上方压力下移至4900附近位置，价格承压后再度回落，在最低回踩至4795一线位置后，现阶段有反弹动作出现。

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　　Datian Global Spot Gold Reference News:市场预计美联储在4月会议上维持利率不变的概率已达100%Interest rate reduction25个基点的概率降至0%。这意味着短期内启动降息的预期已完全消失。对于6月会议，累计降息25个基点的概率仅为11.2%The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is88.8%，显示市场对年中降息的期待也显著减弱。这一预期较几周前大幅回落。近期油价飙升加剧通胀担忧，叠加美国经济数据持续强劲，推动市场不断推迟对首次降息时点的判断。美联储官员普遍维持偏鹰派立场，市场将继续关注后续通胀数据及政策信号的变化。

　　Today's spot gold market follows:

As of3month14Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week(ten thousand);

United States3Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index;

United States1Monthly construction permit monthly rate correction value(%);

Eurozone3The main refinancing rate of the European Central Bank for the month(%);

United States1Yearly total sales of new homes after seasonal adjustment(10000 households);

United States1Monthly wholesale inventory monthly rate final value(%);

　　英国央行公布利率决议和会议纪要;

　　日本央行公布利率决议。

　　从现货黄金日线图看，昨日金价大幅回落录得大实体阴线k线形态，目前MACD指标双线仍在死叉运行过程当中，上方MA5均线持续压制价格，表示现阶段空头仍然掌控趋势，后市或仍有进一步回落的过程，需重点留意MA5The effect of moving average pressure.

From spot gold4小时图看，金价在反抽确认下破震荡区间后大幅回落，目前MACD指标双线再度发出死叉信号，表示回落趋势再度开启，现阶段均线簇亦呈现空头排列形态，建议保持逢高看空思路，留意MA5andMA10两道均线的压力效果。

　　Pressure:4850-4860-4870

　　Support:4840-4830-4820

　　Suggestions for today's spot gold market operation:

　　4848-4850Look at the range, target4840-4842, Risk control3USD.

　　4840-4842From the perspective of range, target4848-4850, Risk control3USD.

Upper laceration4852Look up, goal4860Nearby, risk control3USD.

Downburst4838Look down, goal4830Nearby, risk control3USD.

　　4858-4860Look at the range, target4850-4852, Risk control3USD.

　　4830-4832From the perspective of range, target4838-4840, Risk control3USD.

Upper laceration4862Look up, goal4870Nearby, risk control3USD.

Downburst4828Look down, goal4820Nearby, risk control3USD.

The two goals are to stop the profit step by step and increase the profit.

　　Da Tian Global Warm Reminder:Strategic recommendations are for reference only, there are risks involved in entering the market, and investment needs to be cautious.