Ultima Markets：【行情分析】工党有望重回执政，英镑再度上涨

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 7month 4日英镑兑美元In depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 英国大选：英国大选将在今日举行。随着选举日期日益临近，民意调查的数量和频率不断增加，投资者近期会比此前更加关注英镑，这种情况将导致英镑汇率波动加剧。工党支持率飙升，保守党为保住更多席位，甚至请出前首相鲍里斯·约翰逊到一次保守党的深夜竞选集会上。
• 工党上位：距离工党上一次执政已经是14年前，它渴望摆脱过去大幅征税和增加支出的形象。不过由于英国政府的财政状况几乎没有给工党任何过度支出的机会，短期内英镑仍存升值概率。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

(GBP/USD daily chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标在超卖区域发出多头信号，昨日快线快速上穿50中位线，明确了上涨趋势强烈。
• 支撑与阻力The exchange rate is6月下旬出现背离形态后跌破另类趋势线，该线同时也是顶部形态的颈线位置。昨日汇价重新涨回颈线上方，确认了汇价继续下跌的概率急剧降低。
  

1Hour chart analysis

(GBP USD)1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index:指标在超买区域发出空头信号，同时汇价与指标形成顶背离形态，暗示短期汇价存在回调下跌的概率。
• 公允价值缺口（FVG）：英镑快速上涨突破本周高点后，快速上涨的汇价出现了公允价值缺口。回调的汇价通常存在均值回归的倾向，第一目标关注FVG下方支撑，第二目标看向38.2%斐波纳奇回撤位同时也是红色33周期均线一带。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

(GBP USD)30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day1.2705，
• 1.2705Upward bullish, first goal1.2775Second objective1.2800
• 1.2705Under bearish, first target1.2675Second objective1.2650
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.