Ultima Markets：【行情分析】会议纪要无关紧要，澳元基本面...

todayUltima Markets Bringing you 2024year 5month 21日的澳元兑美元In depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 澳联储会议纪要：澳洲联储在5月初连续第四次将利率维持在4.35%of12年高位。市场关注会议纪要中关于利率路径更细节性的内容。因为澳联储在5月初大幅上调了对整体通胀的展望，并将降息的可能性从今年的预测中剔除，暗示在2025年中之前可能都不会降息。
• 加息也困难：澳大利亚近期失业率大幅上升，尤其是全职就业率不断缩水。劳动力市场的萎缩尽管会间接让物价水平继续继续保持低位，但也进一步击碎澳洲联储加息的想法。
• 大宗商品支撑澳元：由于澳大利亚货币政策与其他央行存在差异，利差的推动支撑澳元走势，而近期铜矿等大宗商品的上涨则可能提升澳元进一步升值的概率。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

（澳元兑美元的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标进入超买区域后昨日发出多头信号，暗示短期空头力量短期占据上风。今日汇价若进一步跌破昨日低点，则投资者可以切换小周期，关注是否存在做空机会。
• 上行趋势线：汇价在盘整了三个交易日后，即将接近绿色上行趋势线。汇价在前期回踩该趋势线后均结束调整继续上涨，关注汇价在接近趋势线后的价格形态。
  

4Hour chart analysis

（澳元兑美元的4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标未进入超买区域后就急转直下，暗示当前空头力量占据上风。但是基于汇价处于调整阶段，仍不能盲目入场做空。
• Supporting price range：汇价在突破0.6648一带后开始震荡调整，整体形态形似下跌旗形。下方同时也是黑色多空转换水平线和黑色65周期均线一带，汇价在没有有效跌破这些支撑位前，依旧以多头趋势为主。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

（澳元兑美元的30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltimaMarkets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day0.6690，
• 0.6690Upward bullish, first goal0.6710Second objective0.6725
• 0.6690Under bearish, first target0.6645Second objective0.6630
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.Ultima MarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.Ultima MarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.