Ultima Markets：【行情分析】通胀数据或验证鲍威尔观点，黄...

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 5month 15daygoldIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• U.S.APPIdata：4monthppiMonth on month increase0.5%，同比增速为2.2%，符合市场预期，交易员减少了对美联储9月降息的押注，鲍威尔称PPI数据“喜忧参半”。
• 鲍威尔观点：美联储主席鲍威尔重申可能在更长时间内将利率维持在高位，不认为下一步行动可能是加息，更有可能将政策利率维持在现有水平。对通胀回落的信心低于之前。美国经济表现非常好，劳动力市场强劲。
• U.S.ACPI：今日美国将公布最新的通胀数据，市场关注数据是否将验证鲍威尔的观点，若通胀仍居高不下，9月降息的押注将进一步降低，届时黄金存在下破趋势线的概率。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

(Gold daily chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标在发出多头信号后快速突破50中位线，目前指标在中位线上方即将发出空头信号，暗示当前市价短期仍存在调整震荡概率。
• 收敛区间：黄金上周五在下行趋势线受阻收出上影线，暗示短期上方仍存压力。值得注意的是下方也存在上行趋势线，金价在不断震荡调整中或将抉择出趋势方向。
  

4Hour chart analysis

（黄金4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index:指标在发出多头信号后快速突破50中位线，目前指标在中位线上方放缓，暗示当前多头趋势或许后劲不足。
• 上行趋势：金价在回踩红色33周期喝65周期均线组后反弹上行。短期或将延续上行通道线继续上涨，但由于该上涨疑似艾略特波浪的浪5，警惕存在顶背离的概率。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

（黄金30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day2280，
• 2280Upward bullish, first goal2430Second objective2510
• 2280Under bearish, first target2230Second objective2150
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.