Ultima Markets：【行情分析】美元巨震，非美受挫，英镑仍待...

todayUltimaMarketsBringing you 2023 year 10 month 20日英镑兑美元In depth analysis.

Fundamental points

·        通胀强但加息预期弱：本周三的CPI数据尽管强于预期，但考虑到CPI仍低于央行8month6.9%的预期，同时月度物价水平还是保持了下行趋势。因此英国央行或将继续保持当前高利率一段时间。

·        鲍威尔扰动市场：凌晨，美联储主席鲍威尔在纽元经济俱乐部发表讲话称，如果看到经济增长强劲的进一步迹象，就有可能再次加息，这番话令市场巨震。

·        英国长期经济动力不足：英国面临着高额公共债务、可能出现的经济衰退、不断上涨的能源价格以及即将举行的大选，这些因素都可能限制经济增长并打击英镑。

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

(GBP/USD daily chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

·        Random oscillation index：指标昨日跌破50中位线，行情有进一步下行的概率。

·        KLine structure：昨日日线收线为十字星，暗示当前多空力量均衡。行情今日势必是一个大波动行情——要么加速下跌走出急停加速的裸K结构，要么就是大幅上涨走出启明星的组合结构。

1Hour chart analysis

(GBP USD)4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

·        斐波纳奇价位：昨日汇价跌至前期上行趋势线的78.6%回撤价位后出现快速上涨。目前受阻于33周期与65周期均线。若78.6%回撤位依旧无法组织行情下跌，则汇率或将看向1.2036One area.

·        Random oscillation index：指标已经在昨日形成金叉，目前受阻于50中位线。这意味着当前行情短期多头衰竭，入场交易仍然需要等待中位线的突破才可确认。

·        bareKstructure：行情连续四次回踩，每次反弹都无法超过前一次，高点不断降低意味着空头力量始终占据上风。若市场想要反转，需要破坏当前结构，即突破前一反弹高点1.2190One area.

Hub Line Indicators

(GBP USD)1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

·        according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level1.21427，

·        1.21427Upward bullish, first goal1.21933Second objective1.22434

·        1.21427Under bearish, first target1.20921Second objective1.20402

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.Ultima MarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.