Ultima Markets：【行情分析】连续第三次暂停加息，纽元短期...

Today's Focus--英镑兑纽元。

Fundamentally，今日新西兰最新利率决议上宣布将利率维持在5.50%不变，符合市场预期，此次为该行连续第三次暂停加息。新西兰联储委员会一致认为，利率可能需要在较长时间内保持较高水平。尽管6月季度GDP增长强于预期，但增长前景仍然低迷。此外，委员会一致认为中期内全球经济增长前景存在下行风险。短期纽元系的货币对或均将处于贬值趋势中。

Technically speaking，日线图上，英镑兑纽元受阻240日均线后，出现了启明星的组合K线，这是较为明确的反转结构。

（英镑兑纽元日线图，来源UltimaMarkets MT4）

随机震荡技术指标也在超卖了近9个交易日后，脱离了超卖区域，行情在今日或将延续反弹上行的趋势。

（英镑兑纽元4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

4小时图上，自9月底的反弹上行是一个五波上行的结构，疑似是驱动浪5浪。行情在快速上涨接近65周期均线后，观察是否能上破，若出现下跌调整结构则等待调整结束后寻找入场交易机会。

（英镑兑纽元1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level2.04099，

2.04099Upward bullish, first goal2.05336Second objective2.06164

2.04099Under bearish, first target2.03301Second objective2.02075

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