Ultima Markets：【行情分析】重头戏来临，通胀不管如何美元...

Today's Focus on Varieties--USD Index。

Fundamentally,今日夜间，市场重点关注美国最新的通胀数据。目前市场普遍预期美国总体CPI年率将在7月份反弹，而核心CPI则可能维持不变。6Monthly CoreCPIby4.8%，首次进入 “4字头” ，若核心通胀依旧保持粘性无法下行甚至反弹回到 “5字头” ，则年内美联储依旧有再次加息的预期，这一定程度上将带动美元指数加速反弹上行。

Technically,US dollar index（Ultima MarketscodeUSDX+）日线周期上随机震荡指标暂时没有明确的金叉信号，需要今天收盘价确认。

Daily cycle of the US dollar index, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

昨日单根日K线能看出多空交投意愿不足，仍然是在等待数据行情推动。均线正相互纠缠，没有明确的方向暗示。

（美元指数4Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

4小时周期上，美元指数目前极大概率是前期7月中旬以来上升趋势的调整。从艾略特波浪角度来看，无论今夜数据如何，美元指数都有段下跌趋势的概率。

（美元指数1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

1小时周期均线组正支撑着行情继续下行，若随机震荡指标确认死叉并且汇价跌破上升趋势线，则日内美元指数短期将快速下跌。

（美元指数1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level102.274，

102.274Upward bullish, first goal102.444Second objective102.562

102.274Under bearish, first target102.156Second objective101.992

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