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Today's Focus on Varieties--EUR/USD。
Fundamentally,上周欧元区PMI终值再次确认了欧洲经济面临的压力,7月制造业录得42.7,这也是2020年以来制造业PMI的最低水平。服务业7monthPMI终值下修至50.9,这也是今年以来的最低水平。在此背景下,市场对ECB加息终点的预期自7月的高点3.95%附近下行至目前的3.8%附近。投资者可等待市场消化欧美之间的利差后,再关注更多经济数据对未来的影响。
Technically,欧元兑美元日线周期,15Rihe21日组成的短期均线组短期上压制汇价的上涨,昨日虽然跌破周一低点位置,但是依旧存在多头机会。
(EUR USD daily cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
随机震荡指标在上周已经形成金叉的结构,有潜在多头概率,不过需要行情突破短期均线组的压制后才能明确。
(EUR/USD)4Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
4小时周期上,汇价没有明确的多头结构,仍然需要等待均线和裸K结构的确认,短期上甚至需要关注空头。
(EUR/USD)1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level1.09612, 1.09612Upward bullish, first goal1.09956Second objective1.10437 1.09612Under bearish, first target1.09140Second objective1.08813
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