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Last week's market review 上周如周报前瞻所言,整体行情波动较大。澳联储如期暂停加息,澳联储会议纪要则显示未来依旧有加息的概率。英央行则迫于通胀继续加息25Base point,6-3的投票比例暗示内部依旧存在争论,英国经济前景是市场关注的重点。
上周中三发惠誉将美国评级下调至AA+,整体看空未来美国经济。贵金属gold和货币兑在连续两次央行决议和非农数据洗礼下,上下波幅较大。
Market outlook crude oil市场在本周迎来三大组织的市场报告——EIA、IEAas well asOPEC。沙特在上周意外宣布继续维持7月份实施的10010000 barrels/日减产力度,延长时间至9月份。油价上周宽幅波动,本周关注是否有更多供给方面的消息。
财经数据方面 ,市场着重关注美国的通胀数据。5Month USACPI数据超预期下降后,行情波动剧烈,黄金当时累计波动超20美元,美元指数一度跌破101整数关口。关注本周美国核心CPI能否进一步下行。
EIA原油报告 Wednesday USAEIA能源组织公布最新的月度短期展望报告。上周EIA库存超预期减少后,市场感受到了当前原油需求的旺盛,关注EIA最新的供需两侧的措辞和展望。
OPEC月度报告 8monthOPEC会议后,市场已经明确了未来产量计划。整体来看,宏观情绪已经降温,市场关注opec月度报告中对于未来整体金融环境和需求预期的判断。
U.S.A7月季调CPIMonthly rate 周四美国将公布最新的7monthCPI月率,6End of Month Seasonal AdjustmentCPI年率终于回到“3时代”,核心通胀在6月也进一步下行。市场担忧美国下半年通胀会迎来反弹,因此周四数据将影响市场对于美联储年内货币政策的判断。
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