Ultima Markets：【行情分析】沃尔夫浪再现 英镑迎来反弹...

Today's Focus on Varieties--GBP USD。

Fundamentally,英国央行和美联储的货币政策目前基本上都是在打明牌了，这也是唯二两个影响两者之间汇率走势的因素。第一英国央行紧缩政策还没有明确，不像市场已经认为美联储年内继续加息的概率较小。第二则是美联储虽然年内加息概率低，但是如有任何经济数据暗示了美联储继续有必要加息，则美元依旧有上行的概率。

在本周英央行利率决议和美国非农就业数据公布前，英镑兑美元短期以市场情绪为主导，更多需要看行情上是否关键价位被突破。

Technically,英镑兑美元日线周期上即将接近65日均线，随机震荡指标也进入超卖空间。

（英镑兑美元日线周期，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

现在言英镑空头已经结束还尚早，但是需要警惕目前英镑发出的信号。

(GBP USD)4Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

4小时周期上，汇价目前跌至上行趋势线附近，随机震荡指标也呈现底背离状态，短期有反弹的预期。

(GBP USD)1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

1小时周期上，裸K结构显示明确的沃尔夫浪。点3在点1下方，点4回撤至点2And points3的价格区间内，点5在昨日跌至点1And points3连线后反弹上行。短期英镑兑美元有一定反弹概率，第一目标看向点4水平价位，第二目标则是点1And points4连线一带。

(GBP USD)1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level1.27864，

1.27864Upward bullish, first goal1.28311Second objective1.28866

1.27864Under bearish, first target1.27314Second objective1.26863

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