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Today's Focus on Varieties--EUR/USD。
Fundamentally,欧央行如期加息25基点,但却超乎预期上调了未来的通胀预期,这暗示了长期紧缩货币政策重要性,同时欧央行也表示今年的加息步伐仍然不会停止。配合美联储跳过6月加息的节奏,当市场充分计价了欧央行长期紧缩的预期后,欧元兑美元或将收复5月份以来的高点位。
Technically,欧元兑美元终于突破上行通道趋势线,也确立了当前上涨趋势为艾略特波浪理论中的3-3,这一最为强劲的趋势波浪。
(EUR/USD)4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
follow1小时回踩5周期均线后是否存在进一步上行的机会,不过由于上方就是日线级别的震荡区间,需要警惕周五存在向上假突破的可能性。
(EUR USD daily chart, sourceUltimaMarkets MT4)
若本周能确立收破在前期震荡区间高点位上方,则行情在下周则需要警惕回调走势。
(EUR/USD)1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level1.09, 1.09Upward bullish, first goal1.09978Second objective1.10500 1.09Under bearish, first target1.08483Second objective1.07506
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