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This post was finally written by Ultima_Markets to 2023-6-15 16:50 edit
Today's Focus on Varieties--EUR/USD。
Fundamentally,美联储昨日确认6月跳过加息后,今日迎来欧央行的利率决议——大概率加息25基点。为应对失控的通胀,欧洲央行在过去一年中总共加息375个基点,投资者预计至少还会再加息两次。与之相对美联储大概率将在下月选择加息,欧美短期的货币政策差异或将带动欧元升值预期。
Technically,欧元兑美元波浪结构如6month7日文章《美元短暂强势,欧元突破该价位或将延续涨势》所预期,1小时图触及前期上行趋势线的78.6%斐波那契回踩位置。
(EUR/USD)1小时图截至6month7日,来源UltimaMarkets MT4)
该价位是波浪理论中浪2的极限回踩位置,有一定概率行情将终止调整继续上行。行情昨日在突破1小时上行通道后有继续上行的动力。
(EUR/USD)1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
若今日欧盘汇率再度涨破该上行通道则本月升值趋势将极大概率确认。
(EUR/USD)1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level1.08224, 1.08224Upward bullish, first goal1.08714Second objective1.09124 1.08224Under bearish, first target1.07812Second objective1.07325
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