Guide Metallographer:5.30今日黄金走势分析，消息面匮乏市场交投平淡

Market Review:


InternationalgoldMonday(5month29day)Maintain a volatile trend, opening price1942.74dollar/Ounces, highest price1949.55dollar/Ounces, lowest price1940.11dollar/Ounces, closing price1945.76dollar/ounce.


Interpretation of the Golden News:


The economic data released on Monday is relatively scarce.


　　报道显示，拜登和众议院议长麦卡锡正各自为债务上限协议加强党内游说，他们都对前景表示乐观，两党的温和派和务实派的重量级议员也作出了初步的支持性表态，但截至当地时间周一中午，众议院少数党领袖杰弗瑞斯尚未对提案表示公开支持。


　　分析称，违约可能导致金融市场冻结，引发国际金融危机。数以百万计的工作岗位将消失，借贷和失业率将大幅上升，股市暴跌可能会抹去数万亿美元的家庭财富。


According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve6The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is41.0%Interest rate hike25The probability of a basis point is59.0%； reach7The probability of maintaining monthly interest rates at the current level is24.2%Accumulated interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is51.6%Accumulated interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is24.2%。


Today's Gold Data:


　　15:00Switzerland5monthKOFEconomic leading indicators


　　17:00eurozone5Monthly Industrial and Economic Prosperity Index


　　17:00eurozone5Final value of monthly consumer confidence index


　　20:30Canadian Q1 Current Account


　　21:00U.S.A3monthFHFAMonthly rate of housing price index


　　21:00U.S.A3monthS&P/CS20Annual rate of housing price index in major cities


　　22:00U.S.A5Monthly Conference Chamber Consumer Confidence Index


　　22:30U.S.A5Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for the Month


Technical analysis of gold:


　　昨日金价全天围绕1940-1949区间窄幅震荡整理，亚盘价格快速回落下探并企稳1940关口迎来震荡回升，午后小幅冲高承压1948关口快速回落走跌，最终美盘前后二次冲高承压1949关口再度回落压制震荡收盘，日k线报收压制震荡十字k，整体价格承压1950关口压制震荡运行，短线依旧弱势偏空震荡，目前来看金价还有进一步回落下行预期，今日反抽依托昨日美盘开跌口1949一线继续主空再看回落，下方目标位继续关注破底，近期多空强弱分水岭1960关口，日线级别未突破并站稳1960一线任何反抽均是做空机会，继续保持顺势参与主基调不变。


　　目前黄金日线以及小时图技术结构上是有一定的止跌回弹需要的，但是回弹级别不会很大，而能否回弹可能还是要美指能否调整来决定，如果有回弹，上方则关注1955-57一带压力，而如果美指一直居高，那么黄金就可能演变为低位横盘，此横盘周期越长则越会加强行情再度下跌的风险，一旦1935-30失守，则波段级别甚至可期1900附近测试。


　　从技术指标的角度来看，黄金面临下跌压力，而反弹空间有限。1Hour at resistance level1954Nearby, a puncture pattern was recorded with a negative line, followed by a series ofkThe line is oscillating downward and is now partially at the support level again1940The hammer line shape was recorded nearby and subsequently recorded consecutively5The root spindle line is fluctuating upwards, so in the short term, we can consider the market as1940-1954箱体震荡，高沽低渣获取空间。尽管黄金价格出现了一些短期修复信号，但整体趋势仍然看跌。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1952-1955Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1935-1930Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　5.30Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1950-1952Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1945-1940Nearby, break down and take a look1935frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1933-1935Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1940-1945Nearby, break down and take a look1950frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)