Guo Shengxin:5.15Analysis of the latest trend of crude oil market, bullish sentiment for gold today...

　　goldToday's analysis:

Key data that investors need to pay attention to include Japan4monthPPIMonthly rate, Germany4Monthly wholesale price index annual rate, Eurozone3Monthly industrial output rate after quarterly adjustment, Eurozone4Total monthly reserve assets, Canada4Construction of monthly new houses, USA5New York Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index, Canada as of5month12National Economic Confidence Index. Major events that require attention include a welcome speech by Atlanta Fed Chairman Bostic at a meeting hosted by the Atlanta Fed, and a speech by Minneapolis Fed Chairman Kashkali.

Last week, the small bearish candlestick of gold fell and closed lower, repeatedly probing higher levels to form a downward pressure. The weekly closing of the closing session closed at2010Nearby. Last week, several high point breakthroughs were unsuccessful, and eventually fell back to2000Seeking support at the integer level and falling into shock, the opening this week is still at a neutral low position, continue to pay attention2000The gains and losses at the checkpoint will be further adjusted downwards if left behind, while holding onto will lead to high level fluctuations and potential accumulation. At present, the daily line is also approaching the support of the trend line2000Support overlap. The gains and losses of this position determine the direction of this week.

　　4The second exploration of the hour chart has not broken, and there is a possibility that the short line structure may have a head shoulder top shape. It is currently in the process of construction, and the previous two attempts2048-2040The area is obstructed and falling, this position is a bearish defensive point. Below this level, it is still slightly bearish, and the current closing is weak below the medium track. Below is2000Defense at the checkpoint. Breaking through can open up space. The hourly chart was accompanied by a rise and fall last Friday. Short term in2022Near pressure. Last Friday during the trading session2020-2022Short selling on the front line and looking back2010It also accurately completes the bagging process. Today's tentative plan for Asia and Europe2020-2022Still holding the opportunity to short the defense2032You can see the target back2005-2000.Break down and take a closer look.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

　　5month15During Asian trading on Monday, US crude oil was trading at69.54dollar/Near the bucket; Group of Seven(G7)The finance ministers concluded their three-day meeting on Saturday, warning that economic uncertainty is increasing.G7The national finance minister has maintained4The assessment of the month suggests that the global financial system is resilient, attempting to appease investors after the recent bank failures in the United States.G7Promise to strengthen monitoring of cross-border transactions between Russia and other countries. The United States is improving the federal government31.4The stalemate over the trillion dollar borrowing limit is intensifying concerns about the global economy, according to the Congressional Budget Office in the United States(CBO)The latest report points out that there are6There is a significant risk of historical default occurring within the first two weeks of the month. The report confirms Treasury Secretary Yellen's earlier warning that a default may occur as early as6month1The day has arrived. United States5Consumer confidence has declined to a six-month low as they are concerned that political struggles over raising the federal government's borrowing limit may trigger an economic recession. According to the survey,5The initial value of the monthly consumer confidence index is57.7Last year11The lowest since the month, below4Of63.5。4Monthly import prices have increased compared to the previous month0.4%, decreased compared to the same period last year4.8%For the third consecutive month of year-on-year decline. On the whole, the impact of the US debt ceiling concern on the market has deepened,G7The Finance Ministers' Summit reminds us to be vigilant against economic risks, coupled with the United States5Consumer confidence plummeted to a six-month low, influenced by multiple bearish factors, resulting in strong bearish positions and a fluctuating downward view on oil prices;

Technical analysis of crude oil; Last week, crude oil fell slightly below the bearish candlestick and closed lower. Last Friday, the weekly chart closed with confirmation of a rebound71.70The front line was obstructed, and the final decline still recovered to a low level. The daily trend did not show a downward trend or rebound, and continued to be in the shadow of a confirmed downward trend. The short-term direction is focused on previous lows. It remains to be confirmed whether to build momentum to break through the low after rebounding, or to make a double bottom rebound after supplementing the shadow line.4After exploring the high and falling trend of the hour chart, the market closed short under the medium track. At the beginning of this week, it relied on the medium track as a defensive short. The low point before the hour chart71.70Converting into resistance, last week's rebound confirmed that the resistance at the top to bottom transition point was still under pressure, and the market closed at a low level. At the beginning of the week, it was observed that the weakness continued. Overall, in terms of crude oil opening operations today, Guo Shengxin suggests that the main focus should be on rebounding and short selling, supplemented by a pullback and long selling, with a short-term focus on the upper level72.0-72.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below67.5-67.0Frontline support

    This article is written by Guo ShengxinVX:gsx2567For reference only, I am reading online and analyzing in real-time every day. Due to network issues, the article can only provide you with temporary directions and ideas. As for the specific operations in the later stage, they will be provided in real-time in the group disk.