Guo Shengxin:5.15Analysis of the latest trend of crude oil market, bullish sentiment for gold today...

　　goldLatest market trend analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Monday（5month15During the Asian session, spot gold rose slightly and is currently trading in2016.80dollar/The concern about the risk of US debt default near ounce provides hedge support for gold price(G7)Finance ministers and governors have warned that economic uncertainty is increasing, providing some support for gold prices. However, the US dollar index has also received an influx of safe haven funds, and the long-term inflation expectations of US consumers have jumped to2011At its highest level since the beginning of the year, US bond yields have also gained upward momentum, which may limit the upward space for gold prices. Analysts said, "Given that we will see the debt ceiling issue continue in the coming weeks and there is limited room for a stronger US dollar, if this situation continues, gold will benefit." Market analysts said that bullish sentiment in the gold market remains strong in anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut later this year, and traders have actually digested it9Interest rate reduction before the month25Expectations of basis points. Overall, the United States6The risk of default intensified at the beginning of the month, and concerns about the debt ceiling deepened in the financial market,G7The summit will strengthen sanctions against Russia, crack down on Russia's energy and trade, providing safe haven support for gold prices. However, the US dollar rebounded strongly last week, and the short-term bullish signal of the US dollar has increased, which may limit the upward space of gold prices in the short term.

Technical analysis of gold: Last week, the small negative line of gold fell and closed low, repeatedly probing high to form a pressure drop. The weekly closing of the end of the day closed at2010Nearby. Last week, several high point breakthroughs were unsuccessful, and eventually fell back to2000Seeking support at the integer level and falling into shock, the opening this week is still at a neutral low position, continue to pay attention2000The gains and losses at the checkpoint will be further adjusted downwards if left behind, while holding onto will lead to high level fluctuations and potential accumulation. At present, the daily line is also approaching the support of the trend line2000Support overlap, this position determines the direction of this week.4The second exploration of the hour chart has not broken, and there is a possibility that the short line structure may have a head shoulder top shape. It is currently in the process of construction, and the previous two attempts2048-2040The area is blocked and falling, and this position is a defensive point for bears. Below this level, it is still slightly short. Currently, the closing price is weak below the mid track, while below it is2000The defense of the pass requires breaking to open up space. In summary, Guo Shengxin suggests that gold's operational strategy for today should focus on rebounding from high altitude, supplemented by a pullback from low, with a focus on the above2025-2030Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1995-2000Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market trend analysis:

Analysis of crude oil message surface:5month15At the beginning of the Asian market on Monday, US crude oil was trading at70dollar/Near the barrel; Oil prices fell nearly last Friday2%And the weekly trend has fallen for the third consecutive week, as the market balances supply concerns with renewed economic concerns. At the same time, the issue of the US debt ceiling increased the risk of market uncertainty, dragging down oil prices. Investors are concerned that the Fed's aggressive rate hikes may push the economy into recession. Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated last Friday that if inflation remains high, the Fed may need to further raise interest rates. On the whole, the impact of the US debt ceiling concern on the market has deepened,G7The Finance Ministers' Summit reminds us to be vigilant against economic risks, coupled with the United States5Monthly consumer confidence plummeted to a six month low, influenced by multiple bearish factors, with strong bearish positions and a fluctuating downward view on oil prices; This week we will focus on the final settlement of the US debt ceiling problem.

Technical analysis of crude oil: Last week, crude oil fell and closed lower on the small negative line. Last Friday, the weekly line closed and confirmed the rebound first71.70The front line was obstructed, and the final decline still recovered to a low level. The daily trend did not show a downward trend or rebound, and continued to be in the shadow of a confirmed downward trend. The short-term direction is focused on previous lows. It remains to be confirmed whether to build momentum to break through the low after rebounding, or to make a double bottom rebound after supplementing the shadow line.4After exploring the high and falling trend of the hour chart, the market closed short under the medium track. At the beginning of this week, it relied on the medium track as a defensive short. The low point before the hour chart71.50-71.70Converted into resistance, the resistance at the top and bottom conversion point confirmed by the late last week's rebound was still under pressure, and the low point was recovered in the late trading. At the beginning of the week, it was seen that the weakness continued. Overall, Guo Shengxin suggests that the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today should mainly focus on rebounding from high altitude, supplemented by stepping back on low levels, with a focus on short-term operations above71.1-71.6Frontline resistance, short-term focus below68.0-67.5Frontline support.