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Guo Shengxin:5.15金价开盘缓涨,黄金原油走势分析操作建议

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Monday(5month15Asian period, spotgold小幅上涨,目前交投于2016.80dollar/盎司附近,对美国债务违约风险的担忧,给金价提供避险支撑。

  消息面解读:美国劳工统计局上周三发布报告称,以消费者物价指数(CPI)的变化来衡量,美国4月份的通货膨胀率从3Of the month5%lower4.9%。该报告的进一步细节显示,不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI通胀率从预期的5.6%Slightly descending5.5%。随着基准的10年期美国国债收益率上周五出现反弹,金价继续向2000dollar/盎司方向下跌,但成功守住这一关键水平。密歇根大学每周报告显示,5月份消费者信心指数(initial value)from4Of the month63.5lower57.7。调查中的长期通胀部分攀升至3.2%, for2011The highest level since the beginning of the year.

Gold trend analysis:

  上周黄金日线和周线双双收阴,技术面上较为弱势,短期的调整或将延续。周末一些让市场神经舒缓的消息传出,短线可能施压黄金。最近市场的焦点就是美国债务上限谈判的拉锯战,两党互不退让,市场担心出现美债的违约。最新的消息是,拜登政府和共和党正在取得进展,美国财长耶伦表示:相信最终能谈出一份协议来。这会让市场的避险情绪回落,进而施压金价。

  黄金价格开盘上行,目前还是交投于历史高点下行趋势线之下,黄金日线连收带长上影的小阴线,下跌力度未减弱。4小时周期形成下跌中继形态的概率较大,1小时周期试探上方压力位失败,短线大概率还有新低。周评有强调过本周还是一个看空的思路,周一白盘没有重大数据,故可执行做空思路,目前趋势线的压制位处于2030附近,那么损位上延2个点,进场点位2020-2028做空即可,损2032Look at the target below2000Gateway.

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

Above2020-2028做空即可,损2032Look at the target below2000关口。全天指导时间:早上6:00In the early morning of the next day1:00.(周末也从不停歇,可随时免费咨询)分析建议只供参考,文章存有滞后性,具体操作均以盘中实时策略为准。

  crude oilMarket trend analysis:

The US crude oil market opened last week at71.4After its position, the market rose strongly and reached its highest point on the weekly chart73.9的位置后行情冲高回落,周线最低给到了69.88After the position was sorted out, the weekly line finally closed at70.09的位置后行情以一根上影线较差的倒锤头形态收线,而这样的形态收尾后,今日70.8Empty stop loss71.4Look at the target below69.9, break down and see69.2and68.8附近支撑点。

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