Guide Metallographer:5.12Today's gold trend analysis, the sudden decline of gold has started!

　　goldMessage interpretation:


Friday(5month12day)The international gold price continued to decline, reaching a new low this week2005.60dollar/Ounces, investors remained cautious until the US inflation outlook gave more clues, although continued economic concerns and the US debt ceiling impasse limited the downward space for gold prices.


DealersGoldSilver CentralManaging Director ofBrian LanAlthough investors are concerned about the uncertainty surrounding debt negotiations and expect the Federal Reserve to suspend interest rate hikes, it appears that some bulls are taking profits and driving down prices.


Data released overnight shows that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the United States surged last week,4The annual growth rate of the monthly producer price index is the smallest in more than two years. But due to the significant increase in the US dollar index0.6%Gold prices closed lower in the end.


Another threat to market sentiment is that the debt ceiling negotiations between US President Biden and members of Congress have been postponed until early next week. US Treasury Secretary Yellen and Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee Chairman and Co head of Goldman Sachs Global Finance Group, Beth Hamak, issued warnings regarding US default.


Minneapolis Federal Reserve Chairman Kashkari mentioned in a speech at the City Hall of the CEO of Mackay, Michigan on Thursday that inflation has slowed down, but warned that the inflation rate is higher than the Federal Reserve2%The goal of.


The market has basically digested the idea that the Federal Reserve may end raising interest rates at this point, but traders are still looking for clear signs of interest rate trajectory. The market currently expects that the Federal Reserve6The likelihood of maintaining interest rates at current levels on a monthly basis is88.2%。


According to another source, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation(FDIC), approximately113The largest bank in the United States will bear the cost of supplementing the deposit insurance fund. The fund has been lost due to recent bank failures160USD100mn


Today's Gold Data:


　　14:00UK Q1GDPAnnual rate correction value


　　14:00britain3Three months in a monthGDPMonthly rate


　　14:00britain3Monthly manufacturing output rate


　　14:00britain3Commodity Trade Account after Monthly Adjustment


　　14:00britain3Monthly industrial output rate


　　14:45France4monthCPIMonthly rate


　　20:30U.S.A4Monthly Import Price Index Monthly Rate


　　22:00U.S.A5Expected monthly and one-year inflation rate


　　22:00U.S.A5Initial monthly University of Michigan consumer confidence index


Technical analysis of gold:


Yesterday, gold hit highs and fell, but closed lower. The main trend this week was volatility, but in the short term, it was accompanied by repeated highs and lows, continuing the previous day's saw saw saw and shake trend. The high and low points were concentrated in the US market period, rising first and then suppressing, and the overall trend remained volatile and falling, with the rebound high point moving downwards. Yesterday's highest rebound2041First line pressure. The conversion from high to low was in line with expectations, and yesterday's intraday trading was directly in line with expectations2040Short selling on the first line2018-2015Complete bagging. Daily double negative closing small negativeKThe line is still at a high level and there are signs of further downward pressure in some areas, but the short term is accompanied by repeated changes. Today, the week concludes. As it closed lower yesterday. The interval is moving down. Today's Focus2000The integer level gains and losses, and only by failing this position can we open up the downward space, otherwise the oscillation rhythm will not change.


　　4Hour cycle at periodic high point2048The above recorded Great Yin constructs a bearish engulfment form, gold4The single negative line of the hour chart fell, breaking the low point of the range at the beginning of the week2020-2022.This level is converted into a small level of resistance, and if it weakens further today, this level in the Asian and European markets will be the first resistance point and also today's empty point. See further potential to break through yesterday's low point and test it2000Gate, hourly chart confirmed by late night backdraft2022There are still obstacles nearby. But there was no further decline. Short line or oscillating rhythm.1Hour cycle at resistance level2040Nearby, a bearish swallow pattern was recorded in the Great Yin, with an overall dome shape. In the future, the overall trend can be seen as downward. Pay attention to the support trend line below1990Support position! Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that the main focus is to rebound and short, supplemented by a pullback and long, with a focus on the short-term above2020-2023Frontline resistance, short-term focus below2000-1990Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　5.12Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds2018-2020Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target2010-2000Nearby, break down and take a look1990frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1990-1992Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target2000-2005Nearby, break down and take a look2010frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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