Guo Shengxin:5.12 Analysis of the Trend of Gold and Crude Oil on Friday and Operational Strategies

　　goldMarket trend analysis

At the daily level, gold surged and fell last week, forming a twilight star shape, suggesting a short-term risk of gold peaking; At the beginning of this week, gold continued to rise, but last night it rose and fell, which dampened the morale of many partiesKThe line is also a negative line with a longer upper shadow, indicating that the overall fluctuation of gold tends to fluctuate downwards. but5The daily moving average continues to turn downwards, with a trend of forming a dead fork,MACDIndicator slightly dead cross,KDJAndRSIThe indicator is slightly dead cross, indicating that the short-term advantage of short sellers is still limited; After a brief opening of the Bollinger Belt, there were signs of contraction again, limiting the short-term operating space of gold, and gold may continue to maintain high volatility and consolidation.

The fluctuation of gold in the evening can be said to be another eye-opener. Due to the positive impact of initial application data, the upper part also touched as expected2041The high point followed by a normal decline, but currently, due to the influence of Fed officials' speeches, the market has also been continuously bearish, leading to a sustained decline below the previous strong support below2018-2020The checkpoint, and it also directly reached the lowest point below2011Near the checkpoint!

As the market continues to decline, our subsequent operating range will eventually change again, from the previous two days'2018-2048The interval has arrived at the current2008-2038In the middle and early weeks, the market moved from a low point1998Continuously moving up to Wednesday's best2021At the checkpoint, and now the low point support below has returned to below once again1998-2008In the range, with the continuous downward impact, our trading strategy will completely shift to high short selling!

Golden Operation Strategy: It is recommended to use the2023-2025Short and defend nearby2030Up, look down at the target2015-2010, break through and continue to hold;

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis

Oil prices fell by approximately on Thursday2%To the lowest point in a week, because the political impasse over the US debt ceiling aroused anxiety about the economic recession of the world's largest oil consumer, and the increase in the number of US initial jobless claims also hit oil prices. USD rise5month1The highest since the beginning of the day, the latest US initial jobless claims data strengthened the reason for the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates, but did not boost people's expectations for a year-end interest rate cut. US Treasury Secretary Yellen urges Congress to raise31.4A trillion dollar federal debt limit and the avoidance of unprecedented defaults could trigger a global economic recession. The oil market largely overlooks the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)yes2023The organization predicts that the demand for global oil in China, the world's largest oil importing country, will increase.OPECChina's oil demand is expected to increase8010000 barrels/Day, higher than last month's7610000 barrels/Forecast for the day. However,OPECHe said that the growth of Chinese demand may be offset by economic risks in other places, including the US debt ceiling impasse. Yesterday, the overall technical aspect of oil prices experienced a bottoming out closing in volatile trading, suppressing fluctuations and falling back,

Small rebound in the Asian and European markets, pushing up pressure73.4The checkpoint continues to fluctuate, fall back, and continue to decline, further penetrating the starting point of the Asian market in the afternoon72.5Continued suppression of fluctuations on the front line, hindered by weak price rebound in the evening72.6The level fell again and accelerated to break through the bottom, ultimately causing bearish positions to break through71Arrival at the checkpoint70.6Nearby weak rebound closing, daykLine reporting suppresses the downward trend and breaks the bottom, with the overall price at73.5There is a short-term head shape above, with two consecutive trading days of rebound under pressure and closing below the bottom, causing short-term prices to fall behind72Breaking through the checkpoint5The key support for the daily moving average is expected to continue the downward adjustment, and today's upward pressure is focused on yesterday's opening of a bearish market in the US market72.6-72.8Area, relying on this position for intraday rebound, continue to hold the main air and see the bottom fall again, and the short-term long short strong weak watershed73At the checkpoint, before breaking through the daily level and stabilizing in this position, continue to maintain the main air rhythm of the backhand draw, and adjust downward according to the trend,

Recommendations for crude oil operations

　　1: Eurasian Plate Touches72.6Short selling, stop loss73.3Target bit71.6-71.3

　　2European and American markets are under pressure72.4Direct empty, stop loss73.1Target bit71.2-71　　

     This article is written by Guo ShengxinVX:gsx2567For reference only, I am reading online and analyzing in real-time every day. Due to network issues, the article can only provide you with temporary directions and ideas. As for the specific operations in the later stage, they will be provided in real-time in the group disk.