Guo Shengxin:5.11黄金不宜追涨杀跌，今日防冲高回落！

　　gold最新行情趋势分析；

　　昨日的走势并未超出技术范畴，冲高至区间上沿2045-2048The pressure level falls back and eventually retracts5Near the daily line, there are up and down shadow lines, which not only indicate the current weakness of the bulls' uptrend, but also indicate that there is a stalemate between the long and short sides. From a technical perspective alone, there is still a possibility of continued adjustment in the short-term market. However, there are still significant uncertainties in gold at present. Firstly, at the daily level, technically, the daily moving average has crossed upwards. If there is no effective spatial retreat in the short term, the cross upward state of the moving average may strengthen bulls' confidence; Secondly, facing short positions in gold in the near future is also very unfavorable. If there is no bearish news in the short term to trigger a pullback in market space, then the confidence of bulls will gradually increase in the process of shock digestion. In terms of daily structure, gold may face significant selection risks today, and the upper part can focus on yesterday's high points and the upper edge of the range2047-2050Under pressure, there will still be5Daily line2028-2025As the key to short-term competition, you can continue to follow below10Daily line2017Nearby competition, if the market falls below10Daily line, then look below20Daily line2010-2005一带争夺.

　　小时线级别，黄金在昨日的走势上还是很情绪化，美CPI数据并未带来明确的方向选择，反倒使得短线情绪更加的不稳定。日内黄金可能会选择区间震荡来消化，技术上也更偏向於进行回修调整，但是奈何当前情绪不稳定，如果出现异动拉升，也是无法规避的。日内上方关注2040Nearby short pressure, hourly chart level range, upper edge pressure level, lower attention2030—28Competition, the middle zone of the hour chart interval, followed by attention below2025-2020The lower edge of the hourly chart interval. Technically speaking, the market is more inclined towards a correction and adjustment, but this week's performance is still bullish and emotional, which is currently a key factor hindering the normal operation of the market.

　　黄金操作策略：上方靠近2038—40Near empty, stop loss2048, Objective2020—17Near.

　　crude oilLatest market trend analysis:

Analysis of crude oil message surface:5month11At the beginning of the Asian market on Thursday, US crude oil was trading at72.83dollar/Near the barrel; Oil prices fell on Wednesday, ending three consecutive days of upward trend. Economic data was mixed and did not provide a clear interest rate path for the Federal Reserve. However, inflation data suggests that the Federal Reserve may continue to raise interest rates; The US crude oil inventory unexpectedly increased, and the US debt ceiling impasse triggered economic concerns, dragging down oil prices. US Energy Information Administration(EIA)On Wednesday, it was announced that due to the re release of national reserves and a decline in exports, US crude oil inventories unexpectedly increased last week, while the decline in gasoline inventories exceeded expectations due to a jump in demand. Analysts said: 'Oil prices are under pressure due to economic growth concerns related to the banking crisis and normal seasonal weakness caused by slower energy demand in spring. Oil buyers in Asia and Europe have had to pay high prices for lower quality and heavily polluting crude oil due to sanctions against Russia andOPEC+The reduction in production has reduced the supply of these grades of crude oil. On the whole, oil prices are affected by higher inflation data, and the unexpected increase of US crude oil inventory, and the US debt ceiling impasse has further triggered economic concerns, and the increase of oil prices may be limited; Key focus for the dayOPECMonthly report.

Technical analysis of crude oil: crude oil reached a high yesterday, fell back and leveled off, with a slight negative daily trendKThe physical size of the line is not large, and there is a slight lack of kinetic energy in some areas after the rebound of the continuous yang. Yesterday, it only reached a high point due to inertia and still fell and closed down, reaching its highest point73.80Back testing of the rear endplate to71.80.The walking method of sawing and washing dishes back and forth shows that the short-term single sided bull head lacks kinetic energy, and the walking method of sorting and accumulating momentum while stepping back.4After stabilizing at the mid track, the hourly chart rebounded and the upper track still fell under pressure. Currently, Bollinger Road is beginning to contract. The interval is slightly smaller, and with the addition of previous data from the bottom63.63Since the rebound, we have approached0.5And the golden point0.618Heavy resistance. During the first rebound, the short term will be accompanied by repeated detours to consolidate and accumulate momentum. At the same time, it is also a stage of choosing a new direction. Will it be a rebound that comes under pressure and leads back down, or will it be a strong rebound with a double bottom? Currently rebounding in the range83.50-63.60Choose between neutral values, and the short-term should be based on the intraday form, while the ultra short-term should respond. Overall, Guo Shengxin suggests that the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today should mainly focus on a pullback to lower levels, supplemented by a rebound to higher levels, with a focus on short-term operations above74.5-75.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below71.7-71.2Frontline support.

       This article is written by Guo ShengxinVX:gsx2567For reference only, I am reading online and analyzing in real-time every day. Due to network issues, the article can only provide you with temporary directions and ideas. As for the specific operations in the later stage, they will be provided in real-time in the group disk.