Guide Metallographer:5.4Today's gold trend analysis shows that the crisis of the collapse of Bank of America dominates the sentiment

Market Review:


InternationalgoldWednesday(5month3day)Volatile closing up, opening price2014.27dollar/Ounces, highest price2026.63dollar/Ounces, lowest price2007.38dollar/Ounces, closing price2023.37dollar/ounce.


Interpretation of the Golden News:


From the United States to5month2Japanese Federal Reserve Rate Decision(upper limit)To raise interest rates to5.25%, in line with market expectations, with a previous value of5.00%。


Federal ReserveFOMCThe statement shows that,(policy)The degree of tightening depends on the economy. The employment growth momentum has been strong in recent months. Reiterate that the US banking system is sound and resilient. Economic activity expanded at a moderate pace in the first quarter. We will take into account the cumulative tightening effect and policy lag. The wording implying further interest rate hikes has been removed; Based on the inflation outlook of the Federal Reserve, it is inappropriate to cut interest rates; The impact of credit tightening is difficult to determine, and in principle, there is no need to raise interest rates to higher levels; Interest rates may have reached a sufficiently restrictive level, and perhaps interest rate hikes can be temporarily suspended. It is expected that the US economy will grow at a moderate pace, but there may be a mild recession.


　　评论称，美联储将利率提高了25A basis point and implying that as economic risks rise, this may be the case since the last century80The final step of the most radical tightening action since the era.FOMCIn Wednesday's statement, it stated: "The committee will closely monitor the latest information and assess its impact on monetary policy3The statement for the month omitted a sentence stating that the committee "anticipates that some additional policy tightening may be appropriate".


　　美联储主席鲍威尔表示，银行业情况总体上有所改善。强烈致力于将通胀率降回2%From now on, we will adopt a data dependent approach. Without price stability, a sustained strong labor market cannot be achieved. The housing market activity remains weak. There are some signs that the supply and demand in the labor market are returning to a better balance. Salary growth has shown some signs of easing. No decision was made today to suspend interest rate hikes. If necessary, we are prepared to take more measures. Reducing inflation may require a period of growth below trend and a relatively weak labor market. My prediction is that the US economy will grow at a moderate pace, not a recession. We feel that we are getting closer to the finish line, perhaps we can pause the interest rate hike.


　　据外媒报道，在数家银行倒闭后，美国又有一家地区性银行摇摇欲坠。知情人士透露，西太平洋合众银行一直在考虑几个战略选项，包括将自身出售。该银行一直在与一家财务顾问公司合作，已经在考虑分拆或融资。虽然对出售持开放态度，但该行尚未启动正式的招标程序。消息人士称，出售事宜并不顺利，因为没有多少潜在买家对买下整个银行感兴趣，该行旗下包括一家名为Pacific Western BankCommunity banks and some commercial and consumer loan businesses. Potential buyers may also need to account for a significant impairment loss on the loan. According to the official website, West Pacific Union Bank has approximately70Home Branch Office(Mainly in California), as well as about440Assets worth billions of dollars. After the announcement of the news, the US stock market of the bank fell nearly after the close of trading60%。


　　美国联邦基金futuresFurther gains in the Asian market suggest6The possibility of monthly interest rate cuts is27%，7The possibility of monthly interest rate cuts is72%By the end of the year, the interest rate will be reduced to4.16%Compared to the current level, it has decreased by about100BP。


Today's Gold Data:


　　14:00Germany3Monthly adjusted trade account


　　15:50France4Monthly service industryPMIFinal value


　　15:55Germany4Monthly service industryPMIFinal value


　　16:00eurozone4Monthly service industryPMIFinal value


　　16:30britain3Monthly central bank mortgage loan permit


　　16:30britain4Monthly service industryPMI


　　17:00eurozone3monthPPIMonthly rate


　　19:30U.S.A4Monthly Challenger Enterprise layoffs


　　20:15The European Central Bank Announces Interest Rate Resolutions


　　20:30From the United States to4month29Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


　　20:30U.S.A3Monthly trade account


　　20:45European Central Bank President Lagarde Holds a Press Conference


　　22:00U.S.A4New York Fed Global Supply Chain Pressure Index


Technical analysis of gold:


　　昨日虽然高位有所回落，但是回撤的力度不大，给到一定的获利机会止步跌幅，随后午夜上行2022Above, a sustained upward trend has been formed to stop the decline. More often than not, it's about the price2000The price that has never appeared above the point, the space above is still unknown, and the structure is still strong, so there are concerns and hesitations about following more to a high level. Never underestimate the strength and depth of the market. High points are a thing of the past, and new highs will still come. After a short-term continuous rise and refreshing high points, the market remains strong and optimistic about the continued increase.


　　周四早盘黄金高开高走，一度创历史新高至2079.38dollar/Ounces, yesterday the overall technical level of gold prices stabilized2010Maintaining a strong bullish running rhythm above the checkpoint, the US market experienced a second retracement in the evening to explore and puncture2007The checkpoint has once again seen a strong rebound and rise, with the evening interest rate hike boots landing and the gold price rapidly surging and piercing through3035Under pressure at the checkpoint, it fell back and continued to decline. After a second retracement, it explored and stabilized2016The front line once again saw a strong rise and broke through the high closing, and this morning in the Asian session, it jumped short and opened high, breaking through the previous high point2045First line arrival2079Near the checkpoint, under pressure, it fell back and fluctuated, dailykUnder the expectation of market news, the line level is experiencing a bullish acceleration to reach its peak and hit a new historical high2079Frontline, support and attention from below today2030-2035Region, the intraday retracement stabilizes at this position, which can be shortened by one more time to see the continued volatility and upward trend. At the same time, today2070Above, we have reached the middle line warehouse construction checkpoint, which is a rare occurrence in several years. It is the first target position on the middle line1970-1975This position is also the recent bullish strong dividing line, and the key support for stabilizing and rebounding after repeated fluctuations in the early stage. Once the gold price falls below this position, a turning point can occur at any time. Today's short-term reliance2030-2070Watch the long and short oscillations, with the middle line being short2070Choose an opportunity to enter the market from above. Overall, the short-term trading strategy for gold today is guided by the advice of gold experts to mainly focus on pullback long positions and rebound short positions as a supplement. Focus on short-term trading from above2075-2080Frontline resistance, short-term focus below2030-2032Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　5.4Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds2073-2075Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target2050-2040Nearby, break down and take a look2030frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback2032-2035Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target2050-2070Nearby, break down and take a look2080frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)