Song Yiyang:4.25What do you think of gold rising at the opening? Can gold still fall? Today's departure...

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　　【4.25goldMessage Analysis

Starting this week, the Federal Reserve has entered5During the "silence period" before the monthly interest rate meeting, despite increasing market expectations of the US economy falling into recession within the year, several Federal Reserve officials still issued policy signals that were biased towards "hawks", pushing the US dollar index back for a while last week102At the same time as above, it also weakened the gold price. What needs to be seen is that the upcoming Federal Reserve5At the monthly interest rate meeting, there is still a high probability that the market will see the Federal Reserve raise interest rates again. As of Beijing time4month24Day, Federal Reserve5Monthly interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is89.1%。 This means the Fed's most aggressive rate hike cycle in decades|Although the end has arrived, it has not yet come to an end. This results in a lack of motivation to further push up gold prices in the short term, especially buying from investment demand. Although the US dollar index continues to consolidate at low levels, it is still difficult for gold prices to find new upward momentum. The main reason for this is the market's expectation that the European and American central banks will continue to raise interest rates and the decrease in market risk aversion, which has recently led to the pressure on gold prices to decline.

　　【4.25Analysis of Gold Technology

Monday's gold market is in a narrow range of shocks, and the high point is1987The first line is under pressure, and the low point is at1974The US dollar has stabilized. From the daily trend chart, gold prices have changed from2049After the decline, there has been no pattern of a big positive recovery, and the low level repeatedly fluctuates. This kind of oscillation intensifies after the big negative retreat, and there will be subsequent actions to break the low. Current Gold1990The strength of the bulls at the checkpoint is equal, and the bulls in the European market are slightly stronger. Currently, it seems that they are only slightly stronger, only rebounding to1987The checkpoint will retreat to the origin, and the lowest retreat from the opening of the Asian market will be1876After the first line, gold presents a form of shock and slow rise. If the current structure adjustment is continued, the reason will continue downward. Although it is not strong enough at present, it also belongs to a chronic upward trend, which is also a form of bottom stop.

Today's operation is very simple, falling back1980reach1985Multiple stops in batches are the latest low1970That's fine, of course radical1988Regional participation means that the stop loss is slightly larger. After all, it is best for long and short stops to be close to the safe edge of the long and short top and bottom. This kind of rebound and bottom rubbing is normal, and it belongs to consuming the bullish position at the bottom. Once the bottom fluctuates, once it rises, there is a possibility of a big positive pull up action. Overall, Song Yiyang suggests that the short-term operation of gold today should focus on a pullback and short selling, supplemented by a rebound and short selling, and the short-term focus should be on the above2010-2012Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1980-1982Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm. To control position and stop loss issues, strictly set stop losses, and do not operate against orders. The recent market turbulence has been significant, with opportunities and risks coexisting. Control risks and increase returns.

　　4.25Golden Practical Strategy Layout:

Short order strategy: gold rebounds2008-2010Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target2000-1995Nearby, break down and take a look1985frontline;

Multiple order strategy:Gold Callback1983-1985Batch long nearby, stop loss6Points, target1995-2005Nearby, break down and take a look2010frontline;

　　【4.25crude oilAnalysis of Market Trends

The crude oil market opened yesterday at77.82After the position, the market first fell, and the daily line reached its lowest point76.68After its position, the market rose strongly and reached its highest point on the daily line79.25After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at78.69After the position, the market closed with a hammer head shape with an extremely long shadow line, and after this shape ended, today's market still had a lot of retracement. On the point, yesterday77.2Follow up on stop loss after multiple reduction positions77.3Today's market situation77.9Multiple, stop loss77.3, look at the goal78.7and79.25.Break the position to see79.9and80.1-80.5。

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)