Guide Metallographer:4.20Analysis of today's gold trend, task three suggests further interest rate hikes

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　今天凌晨美国公布了区域性银行业危机爆发以来的首份褐皮书。书中显示：过去几周美国整体经济活动活跃度几乎没有变化；全美对未来增长的预期也基本保持不变；全美消费者支出普遍呈现出持平或略有下降；各类信贷量普遍下降；劳动力市场变得不那么紧张，几个地区出现劳动力供应增加的情况；通胀上行压力进一步缓解。分析认为，和上一份褐皮书报告相比，这份褐皮书显示出，美联储对美国经济的定调有所下降。


　　另外，今天早上美联储三号人物威廉姆斯也发表讲话：它提到目前美国通胀仍然“太高”，美联储将采取行动降低价格压力。达到2%通胀目标可能需要两年时间。今年将降至3.25%。美联储的行动需要一定时间才能显现出效果。(也就是说在这之前是基本没有降息的可能的)，而预计未来一年失业率将逐渐上升至4%-4.5%。(这对于我们黄金投资者来说，可能是潜在的利多因素)


Today's Gold Data:


　　14:00Germany3monthPPIMonthly rate


　　17:00eurozone2Monthly adjusted trade account


　　19:30European Central Bank Announces Minutes of Monetary Policy Meeting


　　20:30From the United States to4month15Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


　　20:30U.S.A4Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index


　　20:45Federal Reserve Governor Waller delivers a speech


　　22:00U.S.A3Annualized total monthly housing sales


　　22:00U.S.A3Monthly consultation chamber leading indicator monthly rate


　　24:00Federal Reserve Governor Waller delivers a speech on Financial innovation


The next day00:20Federal Reserve Meister delivers a speech


The next day03:00Federal Reserve Governor Bowman Attends the "Fed Listening" Event


The next day05:00Federal Reserve Bostick delivers a speech on economic conditions


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金昨日先跌后涨，日内最低跌至1969一线启稳回升收复部分失地。重新收回至1990上方，日线收盘带有下影线的小阴K线。日线局部进入高位震荡拉锯当中，从本周的节奏来看，短线对于2000美元关口多空争夺激烈，迂回反复，并没有明显的单边行情。长时间拉锯震荡是主格调。且有点洗盘的幅度，伴随反复的下探回升，昨日下探后，今日重新面临选择震荡区间，日线继续看高位震荡。


Short line4小时图来看，黄金探底回升收在阳吞没形态。短线结构有启稳迹象，但能否进一步上升，还得关注2015本周高点阻力收复力度，短线操作卡住区间做震荡，小支撑在1990-1988一带，亚欧盘先在昨日低点之上看反弹，至于能否上破2015决定上行空间，不破继续看区间震荡，多空来回切换，今日日内黄金整体波动不大，震荡上行走的也很费劲，主要原因还是因为美指横盘，上有102.2双顶阻力，下有压力线破位转支撑，有待进一步发力确定方向。晚间黄金重点关注2005—2008压力，由于欧盘没有太大表现，而小时线上阳K偏多，谨防美盘走冲高回落。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注2005-2008Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1980-1982Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　4.20Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds2004-2006Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1995-1990Nearby, break down and take a look1980frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1980-1982Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1995-2000Nearby, break down and take a look2005frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)