Song Yiyang:4.17The gold market is fiercely volatile due to long short competition! Today's Gold Analysis and...

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　　【goldMessage Analysis

　　黄金方面，周一亚盘，金融市场突然出现波动。美元指数短线显着上升，目前升至101.83，刷新日内高点。黄金短线急跌逼近1995附近，日内重挫近10美元。受美联储官员鹰派言论和投资者获利了结等因素影响，上周五金价出现暴跌，尾盘最终在2003附近关口收低，下跌36.24USD or1.78%The highest daily hit2047一线。美联储理事沃勒上周五表示，最近的数据显示美联储在通胀目标上没有取得太大进展，利率需要进一步上升。进一步加息的程度取决于即将出台的数据和信贷收紧情况；仍不确定硅谷银行的倒闭和银行压力将如何影响更广泛的信贷条件。

　　【4.17Analysis of Gold Market Trend

　　黄金上周虽低开，但受市场极端情绪以及美元走跌的影响而持续走高，高点至2048一线，日线连续三个交易日收阳。对于上周五周线收官之作，探高未破高，短线转换回落，跌破前一日低点后尾盘回测至2000关口之下，日线收盘中阴吞阳，结合周线的十字K线，久盘不走高，配合日线阴线回落，短线打破了强势，本周周初相对先走回落，加之美元的启稳强势反弹。金价或许进一步受压。

　　上周黄金持续上涨太过极端，此前也一直强调这种情绪化的上涨很不合技术走势需要，而极端的上涨导致技术上的超买和顶部背离更加的严重，最终周五消息面突然有利空后，市场多头发起倍数的抛售，这是技术上的需要，更是市场情绪借机炒作的行为决定的。黄金本周大概率会有延续回修，加之日线级别顶部背离才刚得到释放，后期行情延续下调的概率也增加，所以本周黄金下方可先看20日线附近争夺，如果20日线失守，则下方或可能去回撤前期两条趋势线交集位1970附近。但是需要注意的是20日线也可能会有强支撑作用，毕竟结合美指走势来看，上周五美指收阳反弹只反包了前一日阴线，而黄金周五大阴线却回吐前面三日阳线，如此节奏不协调状态也会加重本周黄金走势的不稳定风险。周初上方关注2020-2026的承压，下方关注1992-1980Support.

Gold trading strategy: At the beginning of this week, the focus can be on selecting high and short positions. Although gold currently has a technical expectation of turning short, it is still necessary to guard against the risk of market sentiment disturbance. proposal2010-2015Area empty, rebound to2020Short position filling, target2003-1995Nearby. Lower fall to1988Multiple nearby participants. If rebound occurs2032Above, it proves that the bottom has been reached, and we will continue to see it break through historical highs. Besides, I've been hovering around2020Below, it is treated as oscillation,2000Breaking through the checkpoint1990Nearby, so technically it still depends on the need for adjustment, continuation, and repair.

　　【4.17crude oilMarket Trend Analysis

From the perspective of crude oil technology, on the daily line, crude oil fluctuated back and forth last Friday, recording a small positive. On the daily line, currently crude oil is trading sideways at high points and overbought in the short term, so be cautious of falling back;4On an hourly basis, crude oil was trading near the medium track last Friday, but after a slight increase in the evening, it fell. Currently, the Bollinger Belt is about to open,MAMoving forward from the moving average to the third line,KDJRandom indicators with three lines up,MACDThe green kinetic energy column of the indicator is increasing, and the fast slow line has a dead fork downward. Overall, crude oil still has a downward trend in the short term, and the gap has not been filled. It is recommended to rebound within the day83.0-83.5附近阻力做空即可。实时行情盘中指导。

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)