Yu Yue on Jin:4.17Gold remains bullish, with crude oil fluctuating and retreating more

Mutual encouragement for capital exchange:

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​ 　　基本面

Internationalgold开盘先行震荡承压运行，一方面受到上周五的回落至短期均线下方的技术压力，另一方面，在上周五强劲数据的提振下，美元指数高开高走，也对其产生压力，不过美债收益率高开后走弱，则限制了金价早盘下行动力，黄金市场正在对上周五积极的经济数据和美联储的一些鹰派言论做出反应。短期有一定的承压风险，但由于普遍降温的通胀数据和日益加剧的经济衰退担忧仍在支撑金价的看涨意愿，所以近期的幅度小波动仍然很大，交易仍需耐心等待稳健的点位。

Focus on the United States within the day4The New York Fed Manufacturing Index and the United States4monthNAHB房产市场指，另外，之后还将关注欧洲央行行长拉加德发表讲话。


Gold Market Analysis

　　黄金在上周五反弹2047.5承压震荡回落，周五晚间失守2030后大幅下跌，最低回落1992，整体跌幅达55美金，日线高位收实体大阴K线。日内还是偏向下跌之后的修正走势，修正之后依旧是续跌的预期，跌幅一旦下行，不轻易形成反转，所以短期关注反弹力度，以及二次下探的走势预期，下方关注点还是1990一线，前期触及1990一线止步跌幅，后市形成反弹冲高，而目前跌幅再次下行，下方关键点成为短期的参考点。

　　针对性日内看待，大跌之后低位止步跌幅修正，修正不代表改变方向，所以短期结构还是大跌后的弱势环节，日内反弹承压之下依旧短空看延续性下跌，下方关注点1990一线。临盘变动我们再做调整。

Recommendations for Gold Operations

In the2014Short nearby, stop loss2020；目标看2000-1995；



　　crude oilquotations analysis

　　相对而言国际油价总体持稳，尽管国际能源署月报称，经合组织需求减少且库存增加，俄罗斯油品出口恢复到俄乌冲突前的水平。但中国需求看涨，且OPEC+减产可能在下半年导致供应短缺，这限制了油价下行。原油周五两次回踩81.6都被多头稳稳接住，说明下方支撑较强同时上涨还会延续，所以周一继续维持看涨的思路。


Recommendations for crude oil operations

Withdrawal82Long nearby, stop loss81.4, Objective83-83.5If83.50附近二次承压就要注意风险。


Yu Yue's Discussion on Gold - To my friends who invest, let me express my sincere words:

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