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Guide to Gold Master: Analysis of Gold Trends, Gold Bulls Counterattack, Pay Attention...

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  goldMessage interpretation:


  隔夜美联储三号人物,纽约联储主席威廉姆斯发表讲话表示,加息不是银行业产生压力的原因,尚未看到信贷紧缩的明显迹象;不担心市场与美联储在利率方面的分歧。(言外之意,美国的加息不会因此停止,后续还会继续加,而威廉姆斯的观点往往是比较接近主席鲍威尔的)。


  今天晚上明天凌晨还会有多位2023年票委卡什卡利,哈克,以及芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比公开发言,在五月初的议息会议之前,这些内容是非常值得重点参考的!


Today's Gold Data:


  16:30eurozone4monthSentixInvestor confidence index


  17:00eurozone2Monthly retail sales rate


  18:00U.S.A3monthNFIBSmall Business Confidence Index


The next day01:30Federal Reserve Gullsby delivers a speech


The next day06:00美联储哈克就经济前景发表讲话


Technical analysis of gold:


  黄金昨日开盘即走弱下跌,价格触及1988一线后反弹,欧盘黄金反弹无力,价格连阳上涨仍然是承压在早盘高点之下,晚间行情再次下跌至1980附近反弹,价格守住10日线,日线最终收得一阴十字星线,收于5、10日线之间。日线结构上来看,目前黄金自2032下跌以来仍然是属于多头的回落修正,调整结束继续看涨,今日需要留意日线收线,日内关注中轨的争夺防守,目前日线连续三个交易日走弱收阴。今日若能走强,后市仍有望再次冲高破高。反之若今日走低收在1980下方,则短线走弱。中轨是今日的强弱分界点。


  4小时图黄金价格昨日再次测试下轨支撑反弹,节奏上短线有点震荡向下的迹象,但考虑到周线和日线仍处于上升趋势,短线回落当作修正下轨支撑处看反弹思路,这也是昨晚提示80-82做多原因,目前价格重新站上5均线,短线已由弱转强,日内上方关注2002-2007区域阻力,这里是周一欧盘反抽高点和4小时中轨附近压力,若日内收线企稳中轨之上,价格有望再次上冲2032高点。今日黄金看震荡反弹为主,同时也不排除黄金冲高再次回落加大调整的可能性,若1980失守的话。


From1Looking at the hourly chart,k线一路下跌的弱势形态,有反弹力度也不大,黄金小时线高点不断的在下降,同时阳线反弹两根,但大阴线30CM直接吞没覆盖下行,这是典型的空头强势,k线全程也是被均线压制,被摁在地板上摩擦,k线也只能气喘吁吁,阻力位也是不断下移,隔夜金价收盘价依然位于2002下方,均线也是出现明显的波峰态势,向下运行,至少当下没有掉头的迹象。所以,若金价无法站上2002一线,空头结构就会保持完好。另外可以看到k线处于均线压制下运行,macd趋势向下运行,指示走势偏弱的形态,综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注2008-2013Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1980-1982Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


  4.11Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds2005-2008Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1990-1985Nearby, break down and take a look1980frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1980-1982Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1990-1995Nearby, break down and take a look2000frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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