Song Yiyang:4.5Will small non farmers continue to fall after the sudden rise of gold? Analysis of Today's Gold Trend

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EveninggoldMarket Analysis

　　昨日黄金市场完成关键的三角破位，早盘开盘在1984.3After the position, the market first fell, and the daily line reached its lowest point1976.6的位置后行情震荡拉升，美盘时段行情破位本轮三角整理上轨1990压力后行情强势拉升，日线最高触及到了2025.1After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at2020.5的位置后，日线以一根下影线稍长于上影线的大阳线收线，而这样的形态收尾后，今日的行情回踩延续多。

　　周二北京时间22:00, USA2Monthly factory order rate recorded-0.7%, lower than expected-0.5%And previous values-1.6%。同时公布的美国2monthJOLTs职位空缺数据自2021year5For the first time since the month1000万人。爆冷的经济数据或削弱美联储进一步加息的必要性。此外，芬兰正式成为北约第31个成员国，俄罗斯此前警告，此举将导致冲突升级，俄方会采取反制措施。

　　数据公布后，美元指数短线急挫；美国国债延续涨幅，2Yields of one-year treasury bond bonds fell13个基点；现货黄金站上2020Last year3月以来新高。现货白银日内涨幅扩大至3%；非美货币普遍走高。

　　COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract Beijing Time4month4day22:00Instant trading within one minute5218Hand, total value of trading contracts10.43USD100mn

　　COMEXMost Active Gold Futures Contract Beijing Time4month4day22:14Instant trading within one minute4369Hand, total value of trading contracts8.81USD100mn

　　COMEXMost Active Gold Futures Contract Beijing Time4month4day22:22Instant trading within one minute2034Hand, total value of trading contracts4.11USD100mn

　　COMEXMost Active Gold Futures Contract Beijing Time4month4day22:52Instant trading within one minute2101Hand, total value of trading contracts4.24USD100mn

　　技术面看，黄金四小时震荡破位上涨，黄金破位了布林带上轨，打破了高位震荡区间，目前仍是一个看涨形态，从技术指标来看：KDJThe golden cross is upward, and the random index diverges upwards,MACDAfter the dead cross, it forms a golden cross, and the red energy column begins to measure. The moving average also starts to align towards the upper bullish and provide short-term support for gold. Indicating that the upward trend of gold has been strengthened, and it is expected to continue to rise in the future. Pay attention to the short-term resistance line above2030-2040One line, long line resistance2050Gateway. Supported below5Daily moving average2004First line, second line1992一线；操作上建议短线只要坚守2009-2003不破的情况下，直接去做多即可。关注2020year8月中旬高点2029-2033阻力区域，一旦上破新高，关注前期高点2049附近，就是最佳中线布局空单的良机。下方破位2000，则得进一步下看1980-1960的情况下，再去考虑多单。

Operational strategy:

　　1.建议黄金如果能先回落给出2010Many, conservative2007Multiple, stop loss2003, look at the goal2025and2032；若直接继续上冲，可尝试在2030reach2036区域做空，2043Loss2003Area;

Eveningcrude oilTrend Analysis

　　美原油市场昨日受到周末产油国全线减产的影响市场早盘高开在80.65的位置后行情先拉升，日线最高触及到了81.61的位置后行情冲高回落，日线最低给到了78.9After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at80.24的位置后行情以一根上下影线等长的纺锤形态收线，而这样的形态收尾后，今日的行情先拉升给出81.3短空止损81.8Look at the target below79and78.4-78离场反手准备多单。

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)