Guide to Gold Analyst: Analysis of Gold Trends, End of Gold Volatility, Bull...

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　作为本周第二重要的数据，北京时间今天中午，澳联储公布了最新的利率决议，面对疲软的通胀数据和基本持平的失业率，澳洲联储宣布暂停加息，政策利率维持在3.6%水平，为银行业危机爆发以来首个暂停加息的主要发达国家央行。也是五眼联盟之中首个停止加息的国家。


　　比较有意思的是，今天凌晨看的时候市场预期还是要加息25BP，可就在公布前1个小时，各大财经媒体均更改了预期，变成本次不加息。要知道相比美国来说，澳洲利率还是较低的。目前，澳洲联储自去年五月份以来已累计加息10次，共加息350Basis points.


　　这次选择不加息的原因，澳洲联储表示，很可能需要进一步收紧政策，一系列数据表明通货膨胀已经达到峰值，中期通胀预期已经稳定，随着经济增长放缓，预计失业率将会上升。


　　已经有人开了第一枪，这也意味着可能后续还有更多的央行选择跟进，这一波的加息潮2也临近尾声。


Today's Gold Data:


　　12:30Federal Reserve of Australia Announces Interest Rate Decision


　　14:00Germany2Monthly adjusted trade account


　　17:00eurozone2monthPPIMonthly rate


　　22:00U.S.A2Monthly factory order rate


Technical analysis of gold:


　　昨日黄金技术面整体迎来多空宽幅震荡大洗盘，亚盘承压1964关口快速下跌走弱，午后进一步向下刺破1950Arrival at the checkpoint1949附近企稳回升，欧盘整体价格并未延续走弱，而是迎来深v反弹回升并在美盘前加速拉升重回1970上方维持多头强势震荡，晚间价格二次回踩企稳1972关口迎来加速拉升破高收盘，日kLine closing bottomed out and rebounded, breaking through the high and rising middle yang, with overall prices in1960下方完成多空深v洗盘，今日下方支撑关注昨日美盘颈线位1972-75附近，日内回撤企稳此位置可先多一次看延续回升，上方短线压力关注1990上方，目前来看整体价格大概了围绕1970-1990区域继续以时间换空间宽幅震荡运行，昨日深v洗盘走势将价格再度拉回多头强势区域，整体继续看高位宽幅震荡；


　　从日线结构来看，守住中轨看多头整理蓄势，以时间换空间，反复的下探回升，等待蓄力冲破2000关口，时间上可能稍有延后。目前暂时处于整理当中。4The hourly chart rose steadily from the lower track to the upper track yesterday. It broke the high point of last Friday, but is still on the upper track of the triangle range and has been suppressed. Today, we will still pay attention to it1990Nearby resistance strength. The strength of the European market is determined by its strength, and if it breaks through, it will continue to be bullish. If it does not break through, it will continue to be bullish1990-1960三角区间来回震荡。若是欧盘能够强势突破1990阻力，则盘中临盘顺势跟进，目前未突破前，亚盘也不敢过分看高，以免过山车式的来回震荡洗盘。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注1990-2000Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1973-1975Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　4.4Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1995-1998Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1990-1980Nearby, break down and take a look1975frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1975-1977Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1985-1995Nearby, break down and take a look2000frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)