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Song Yiyang:3.27今日黄金走势分析,黄金下跌会继续上涨吗?

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【3.27todaygoldTrend Analysis

  上周黄金短线出现了较大幅度的回撤,日线收线较为难看,短线技术形态也遭到破坏,但从长期来看黄金依旧值得期待,持有黄金的理由和逻辑依然没有改变,小周期的变动不足以改变大周期的走势。

  随着美国不断加息,衰退的风险也越来越大,美国新老债王--格罗斯和冈拉克都表示,加息扼杀了美国经济,要准备迎接即将到来的衰退。摩根大通经济学家也表示,中型规模的贷款增长放缓,可能使得美国未来一到两年的GDPdecline0.5reach1个百分点。近期美国2Period and10年期国债收益率的利差已从107Decline by basis points40个基点,债券收益率反了投资者对未来数月乃至数年经济增长、通胀和利率的预期,这也被市场视为衰退信号。

  技术面:黄金日线收高位流星线,前高压制明显。1小时周期形成双顶下破,短线继续下调的概率较大。建议关注上方1984美元一线的压力。目前运行于于5/10日均线上方,保持着近期的上行趋势,附图信号也再度转强,这暗示短期走势继续以看涨上行为主,上方2010高点附近的突破情况仍是我们关注的焦点,四小时方面,黄金周五再次测试上轨2000附近阻力回落,早盘进一步的震荡回落,说明2000dollar-2010是一个重压区,看涨到这一带需要回避,下方关注四小时中轨线1960一线支撑,周一依托此处顺势做多为主,上方触及2000-2010区域做空为辅。

  黄金多单策略:1970Going long,1965加仓多,目标1985,1990Stop loss10dollar

  黄金空单策略:1998Short selling,2005加仓空,目标1980,1970Stop loss10dollar

  【3.27todaycrude oilTrend Analysis

Technical aspectH4周期收口,低位连阳,本周看涨,但不盲目做多,目前可看的区间在68/71.5,周初在此区间内先做高空低多交易,其中,低多看长线破位,等站稳71.5之上再看大涨空间,上方可见73,75,81!

Operation suggestion: crude oil68Nearby, stop loss67.4, Objective71.5、73;

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)

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