随着美国不断加息,衰退的风险也越来越大,美国新老债王--格罗斯和冈拉克都表示,加息扼杀了美国经济,要准备迎接即将到来的衰退。摩根大通经济学家也表示,中型规模的贷款增长放缓,可能使得美国未来一到两年的GDPdecline0.5reach1个百分点。近期美国2Period and10年期国债收益率的利差已从107Decline by basis points40个基点,债券收益率反了投资者对未来数月乃至数年经济增长、通胀和利率的预期,这也被市场视为衰退信号。
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