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CPT Markets: Federal Reserve3Moon dove pie interest rate hike limits the rise of the US dollar! Bank of England plus...

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USD Index (DXY):
CPT Markets: Federal Reserve3Moon dove pie interest rate hike limits the rise of the US dollar! Bank of England plus...688 / author:CPT / PostsID:1718337




美元指数上周五盘中大幅上涨至103.11附近,因美联储上周不受银行危机风波影响如期加息25个基点,令美元释然回升。

由于最近美国银行业出现流动危机,市场对美联储放缓升息预期升温,导致美元本周初期持续走软,在美联储鸽派加息后,美元释然回升。美联储符合市场预期仅温和加息25Bps to4.75-5%区间,为2007year10月以来的最高水平,尽管美国通胀和劳动力市场仍然紧张。鲍威尔主席在随后的新闻发布会上表示考虑过暂停加息,但加息的决定得到了委员会很强的共识支持。贷款计划有效地满足了银行的需求,所有储户的储蓄都是安全的,将加强对银行业的监管。在评估是否需要进一步加息时,将特别关注信贷紧缩的影响,如果需要将利率上调至高于预期,也不排除会这么做。

上周五财经事件资料方面,美国商务部公布2月耐用品订单月率比预期下跌至-1%,反映出市场对不易耗损的物品订购需求下降。此外,市场调查公司Markit公布综合PMI高于前期至53.3,服务业与制造业皆比预期上升至53.8and49.3,显示出企业市场产业活动有所活跃。

From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 103.10,103.60; From the downward direction, the lower support102.70。



euro/pound (EURGBP):
CPT Markets: Federal Reserve3Moon dove pie interest rate hike limits the rise of the US dollar! Bank of England plus...448 / author:CPT / PostsID:1718337




欧元兑英镑上周五收盘小幅回落后,盘整在0.8798附近,基于美元震荡走高,伴随对银行的紧张情绪挥之不去,导致欧元短线下行疲软,不过欧美央行政策差异支撑欧元。而英国央行加息25基点加息接近尾声,令英镑下行承压。

欧洲央行管委暨德国央行行长 内格尔 表示,欧洲央行需要继续加息,然后将利率维持在较高水平,并对银行业危机发表评论,并认为现在的情况与2008年不同,欧洲已做好准备,以防动荡爆发。在英国利率政策方面,上周四英国央行宣布,将基准利率从4%Up to4.25%This is2021year12月以来英国央行连续第十一次加息。英国央行在当天公布的会议纪要中表示,英国2月食品和核心商品的价格通胀明显强于预期,但预计到第二季度通胀水平将大幅下降。同时表示,全球金融市场出现了大幅波动,尤其是在硅谷银行关闭后至瑞银集团同意收购瑞士信贷银行期间。但英国央行金融政策委员会认为,英国的银行体系仍然具有韧性,能够在高利率时期继续支持经济。

上周五财经事件资料方面,市场研究机构MarkitAnnouncement of the Eurozone3Monthly manufacturing industryPMIBelow expectations to47.1,其中德国及法国资料尤为疲软,不过综合及服务业指数均高于预期。相较英国数据,整体综合PMI指数比预期下滑至52.2,服务业及制造业指数也同比预期下降至52.8and48,显示出该国整体产业成长有所萎缩。

From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 0.8790,0.8820; From the downward direction, the lower support0.8750。

CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.




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