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Song Yiyang:3.16黄金多头强势上涨能否延续?今日黄金行情走...

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  【gold技术面分析】

  黄金日内承压1924一线震荡回修,下方回撤1907一线后震荡攀爬,持续攀爬状态虽然符合当前基本面相对偏多的状态,但是这样的走势节奏对于操作上确是很难把控的,尤其是欧盘时段,黄金攀爬突破1925,目前再测1930上方,这是短线市场情绪极度不稳定的表现,也是市场对于基本面抱有期待的表现。

  目前技术结构上的预期对于黄金已经不是那么的有效,但可提供一定的参考,上方可关注1930争夺,如果去测试昨日高点1937一线也未尝不可,但目前黄金上涨的动能主要还是依赖避险情绪,所以基本面如果能出利好再考虑进一步回升,如果基本面导致避险情绪有所缓和,那么黄金势必会有调整回修。晚间下方继续关注此前的高点密集区域1915-10附近的争夺,主要支撑则继续看1900Integer level.

  考虑到近期行情受基本面影响太重,短线走势节奏极难通过技术预期把控,故晚间务必着重关注基本面消息对行情的影响,尤其是今晚欧央行利率决定,如果有所调整,那个可能将牵扯到下周美联储利率决定的预期。另外美盘时段美银行股的情况也需要密切关注,美银行业危机是继续蔓延还是得到控制,包括美政府、美联储怎么处理解决改问题,都会成为黄金短期的关键影响。

  操作上,晚间黄金保守选择观望,尽量事件落实,以及根据美银行股的走势等基本面情况再做进一步的策略调整。激进则关注上方1930、1937压力,如果避险情绪升温,那么后期上方可能会攀高至1850even to the extent that1960,但这必须是在基本面利多情况下的。而如果行情回撤,下方则关注1915-10一带争夺,也并不排除回撤1900附近的可能性。

  【crude oilMarket Analysis

  原油在日线走势上走出一波大幅下跌之后的小幅调整,目前在日线走势上价格开始走出前期的宽幅震荡区间维持较好的空头发散形态,在日线走势上持续偏弱一些。4小时级别走势上走出一波探底反弹之后目前的技术形态基本要修复完成了,价格虽有反弹但是整体偏弱的技术形态并没有发生变化。

Operation suggestions:68.5-6Near empty, stop loss69.3, Objective67.5-66.4.

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)

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