Guide Metallographer:3.15今日黄金走势分析，黄金上涨受阻仍需空

　　goldMessage interpretation:


Tuesday(3month14day)20:30Announced by the United States2月通胀报告，总体与核心CPI年率均符合预期且低于前值。截至发稿，现货黄金下跌7.4USD to1898.78dollar/盎司后反弹近13USD to1911.79dollar/Ounces. Specific data shows that the United States2monthCPI年率符合预期值6%，较前值回落0.4个百分点；美国2Monthly CoreCPI年率符合预期值5.50%, lower than the previous value5.60%。


　　CPI数据符合预期表明，很难看到对于美联储下周将加息50个基点的预期复苏。通胀并没有(Significant)下降，但这也不是一个强劲的数据。显然，美联储现在要考虑的是金融稳定问题。有些人想无视本月的CPI报告，因为银行业危机或将导致美联储放慢加息步伐(或完全停止加息)。这在短期内可能是正确的想法，但这份报告对美联储5月及其以后的政策仍非常重要。总体而言，数据接近预期。核心CPI月率略高，但同比数据持平，因此这份通胀报告的数据不算太强劲，尤其是考虑到周收入数据出人意料地录得下降。


United States2月通胀数据是在3month22日美联储政策会议之前发布的最后一份具有重大影响的经济报告。美联储政策制定者已进入缄默期，通胀数据有助于美联储确定未来政策路径。自去年3月以来，美联储已将基准隔夜利率从接近零的水平上调450个基点至目前的4.50%-4.75%区间。我们仍然预计通胀将逐渐走低，但这个过程可能是坎坷的，需要时间。尽管过去几个季度出现了一些方向性改善，但物价仍远高于美联储2%的目标，而且劳动力市场吃紧表明通胀压力仍然存在，可能会阻止通胀全面回归2%。”“美国劳动力市场数据表明2023年初经济势头强劲，而具有粘性的高通胀表明可能需要更长时间才能回到2%的目标，这增强了美联储进一步加息的理由。”


　　美联储政策前景市场有分歧，上周公布的美国2月非农就业数据好坏参半，且美国银行业发生2008年金融危机以来最大的倒闭事件，这促使交易员重新评估他们对美联储利率前景的押注。经济学家们对高通胀是否足以推动美联储3月份再次加息存在分歧，甚至不排除2023年底前降息的可能。“如果美联储会议是在今天举行，那么你不得不说美联储不会采取任何行动。如果美联储、财政部和FDIC(联邦存款保险公司)的行动有助于稳定市场，那么你不得不说加息25个基点仍然是最有可能的结果。”应该指出的是，这些问题(银行倒闭)很大程度上是美联储短时间内从实施多年的过度宽松政策转化到过度收紧政策而引发的。鉴于这一现实，美联储现在可能会停止其紧缩周期。”预计，美国经济将在今年下半年陷入衰退。他表示，如果银行停止放贷，硅谷银行倒闭的后果可能会加速衰退。


Technical analysis of gold:


Daily level from1809Support rebound, currentlyKThe overall trend of the line also presents a four consecutive positive pattern. Faced with such a trend pattern, today's operational approach undoubtedly needs to lean towards bulls; Observing from the moving average, the overall trend of the three lines is adhesive and diverging upwards, while the overall gold price is operating at5Daily moving average1866The upper position shows a very strong trajectory. From the observation of the Bollinger belt, the third line shows an open horn shape. Yesterday's strong pull also broke the position of the Bollinger belt on the track1895Nearby, the overall gold price is currently consolidating at the upper track of the Bollinger Belt. From the perspective of technical indicators,MACDandKDJThe overall shape is all turning upwards, so from a daily perspective, the overall operating strategy of gold prices tends to be bullish;


　　4At the hourly level, the third line of the Bollinger Belt is turning upwards as a whole, and the price continues to rebound based on the position of the Bollinger Belt on the track. The overall strength is very strong, and currently the gold price is operating on the Bollinger Belt on the track as a whole1926At the bottom, the three lines of the moving average bond upwards and diverge, and the overall gold price is based on5Rihe10The daily moving average continues to rebound, and currently the overall gold price is operating at5Daily moving average1905Upper position, secondary image indicatorMACDThe overall operation is above the zero axis, with double lines diverging upwards, so the overall trend is bullish,KDJThere is a sign of turning down on the third line, so there is a need to step back on the short-term level; Do not pursue high orders, there will be tonightCPIData, Beware of High Gold Flash Collapse.


Combining14Hour level, short-term trend from1860After breaking through on the first line, there was an explosive bull rally, and prices continued to fluctuate after a high opening yesterday1870After the above range, the increase will be further expanded. As of now, the European market is still maintaining a high level of consolidation, and it is still possible to test new highs within the day. Day traders may patiently wait for the market to decline before considering multiple orders to avoid chasing gains and killing losses. Short term pressure is temporarily focused on the day's high point1914Nearby. It should be noted that the short-term upward trend of gold is relatively fast under the influence of risk events, and the continuation of this upward trend may not be particularly good. In addition, the current price is not too far from the previous pressure band, so it is recommended to refer to gold operations in terms of intraday operation ideas1910-14Nearby short order opportunities, do not chase up or sell, pay attention to the recent below1860Potential testing risks in the vicinity. Real time market in session guidance. Overall, in terms of the short-term operation strategy for gold today, Jinshengfu suggests that the main focus should be on rebounding and short selling, supplemented by a pullback and long selling, with a focus on short-term focus above1910-1914Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1888-1890Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　3.14Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1910-1913Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1900-1890Nearby, break down and take a look1880frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1888-1890Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1900-1905Nearby, break down and take a look1910frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)