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Song Yiyang:3.14黄金即将高位回撤,原油承压震荡偏空!

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gold方面】

  硅谷银行的倒闭引发不确定性,投资者寻求避险,黄金高开高走,昨日(3month13日)晚间黄金即突破1900美元关口,强势不可挡。加州银行监管机构关闭了硅谷银行,纽约总部的Signature Bank也被关闭,这是自2008年以来最大的倒闭事件,美指下挫,美债收益率近两个交易日下跌800个基点。美联储启动紧急措施,以避免银行系统的连带损失,后续还需密切关注。今日晚间将公布美国2Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPI数据,预期为6.00%, previous value is6.40%,若高于预期,则表明下降速度较慢,美联储可能继续大幅加息;若下降幅度超过预期,加息压力减小,对黄金有利。

  技术面:黄金自非农数据之后加速上涨,多头强势,当下价格已经处于1900美元之上,需警惕短线大幅回调,下方关注1885美元的支撑。上方关注1918一线阻力,操作上宋奕洋建议顺势回调后做多,依托1900关口支持进行布局。

  黄金多单:稳健1885附近做多,激进1900Long nearby, target1920Stop loss5

  黄金空单:稳健1915附近做空,激进1912Short selling nearby, target1900Stop loss5

  【crude oil方面】

  原油上个交易日美盘走出一波V型反转在日线走势上继续维持在宽幅的区间震荡中,小时级别走势上经过短暂的横盘震荡之后技术形态有开始逐步修复完成的迹象,短线走势上可能会有一定的反弹空间。4小时级别走势上目前没有明显的趋势在短期走势上大概率会走个震荡修复。

Operation suggestions:75.8-9Near empty, stop loss76.6, Objective75-74.

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)

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