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CPT Markets: USA2Slowing monthly salary growth indicates a moderate pace of interest rate hikes! britainGD...962 / author:CPT / PostsID:1717186




美元指数上周五盘中跳空震荡下跌至104.63Nearby, despite the United States2月非农就业市场高于预期,但美元下行震荡疲软,由于此前美国2月薪资增长放缓,表明通胀压力的缓解可能会使美联储的加息步伐保持温和,从而降低美元的吸引力。

美国经济在2月以迅猛的速度增加了就业岗位,但薪资增长放缓和失业率上升促使金融市场调低了对美联储决策者在两周后开会时加息50个基点的预期。而美联储主席 Powell 在国会的证词被认为是鹰派而提振了美元,因美债收益率比其他美债收益率更高。据CME美联储观察工具显示,美联储3Monthly interest rate increase50Bps to5.00%-5.25%区间的概率为77.9%;到5Monthly cumulative interest rate increase75Bps to5.25%-5.50%区间的概率为58.6%.

Last Friday, in terms of financial event data, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released2The monthly non farm employment population change has increased compared to expectations31.1万人,私营企业及制造业就业人口分别上升至26.5万及下跌至-0.4万,而失业率同比高于预期至3.6%,反映出整体就业市场有所改善。不过美国劳动统计局也公布2月平均工时年月率皆低于预期至4.6%and0.2%,薪资增长放缓表明通胀压力的缓解可能会使美联储的加息步伐保持温和。

From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 104.60,105.00; From the downward direction, the lower support104.20。




euro/pound (EURGBP):
CPT Markets: USA2Slowing monthly salary growth indicates a moderate pace of interest rate hikes! britainGD...412 / author:CPT / PostsID:1717186




After a significant decline in the euro against the pound last Friday, the consolidation was0.8845附近,基于上周英国GDP经济增长数据令人鼓舞,巩固了英镑市场信心。

近期欧洲央行行长 Lagarde 表示,由于欧元区通胀水平居高不下,可能需要在本月晚些时候预期的加息基础上,再次上调利率。据报道,欧元区的通胀水平放缓不及预期,2月通胀率相比1Of8.6%仅小幅下降了0.1个百分点,高于调查预估中值8.3%。欧盟统计局数据显示,欧元区2月核心通胀率由1Of5.3%Ascend to5.6%,创历史新高。英国央行的政策制定者 曼恩 表示,随着市场消化美联储和欧洲央行加息计划带来的影响,两行的态度一直相当鹰派,这促使英镑未来可能进一步走软。

Last Friday's financial event data was released by the UK Bureau of Statistics1monthGDP月率比预期上升至0.3%,反映出生产总额有所增长。不过在利差数据方面,英国国家统计局发布1month(commodity)贸易帐净资金仍大量流出呈赤字成长。另外,英国1月工业及制造业产出年月率皆低于预期,显示出市场对工业及制造业产品需求下降。在通胀数据方面,德国联邦统计局公布2monthCPI年月率基本持平在8.7%and0.8%,反映出该国通胀仍呈固定水平。

From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 0.8840,0.8890; From the downward direction, the lower support0.8800。

CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.




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