Wan Jinsheng3.11周评：黄金强势拉升是否真正转多？原油仍是震...

These two days, the bankruptcy news of Silicon Valley banks is popular. The early return on investment is low, and the treasury bond bonds purchased can be redeemed only after they are due. The bank can't bear the high interest rate cashing, and once a large number of customers withdraw cash, there will be a run, which will directly lead to bank bankruptcy. Although this is the first one, it is definitely not the last one. As long as the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, there are still more banks that cannot afford it. At present, the Federal Reserve is in a dilemma. Inflation cannot come down without raising interest rates. Banks that raise interest rates will fall first, and it remains to be seen whether there will be an impact on the March rate hike. The lesser of the two harms depends on which side the Federal Reserve maintains.

　　goldFriday saw a strong surge, briefly touching1870高位收盘，日线双阳上升站上30日均线，周线探底回升阳锤子，守住百日均线支撑，止跌反弹。周尾强势行情受非农远低于上月50万人影响，外加失业率上升至3.6％，美指大幅下挫测试104，周线小十字，短期利多黄金。中长线能否真正转多，等三月底加息后才能确定，分水岭1890。

　　往往一步到位的行情延续性有限，上周下跌是这样，这次上涨会不会也是如此？市场预期美储三月加息50At this point, a larger rebound may be to reserve space for future declines, whileETFLast week, gold reduced its holdings by nearly9Tons, the latest position dropped to a new low903吨，意味着对大趋势多存有疑虑。美指回撤并未跌破382Support position, without changing the overall rebound rhythm, with a weekly crossKIt remains to be observed whether it will continue to rise or hit the top space.

　　对于周一黄金先看强势行情延续，回撤关注1855Multiple frontlines, stop loss1848, look at the goal1867—1870； If you can break high strongly within the day, you can step back more than twice at night; Suppress horizontal trading during the day, and try empty trading at night.(Note:3.12Implementing Daylight Saving Time in the US and Europe3.26Implementing Daylight Saving Time

　　crude oilOn the one hand, the weekly trend still alternates between yin and yang, and the overall market remains volatile without clear direction guidance. Although the daily trend of continuous negative and single positive highlights a bearish trend, the short-term deviation lacks momentum to break the bottom, and crude oil is seen as volatile on Monday. Follow Above78.0A line of emptiness, below75.6—75.7Touch more.

In terms of trading, Friday gold1840Air loss1846: Crude oil76.0Loss6dollar. Although the trading was not ideal at the end of the week, it missed a rebound; Zhou Chuyi's journey was relatively smooth. Last week's total operations9Wave, Harvest54美金，做到了大赚小亏，错单该止损止损，不做无意义抗单，合理止损必不可少，你永远不知道意外和盈利哪一个先出现，没有百分百的行情，只有百分百的风控。

　　很多人做单不知道止损放哪里，首先你要确定进场位在哪里，选择在关键支撑或压力位，只有位置做对了止损才好设置在合理范围。如果做在不上不下尴尬位置，那么止损设置会很大，得不偿失。这也是锦晟之前一直强调宁可错过也尽量不要做错的原因，在正确的时间做在正确的位置。如果你现在有空单被套不用着急，可以跟锦晟聊聊，根据你的情况给到合理解决方案，后面月底加息或有机会。

　——Wen/Wan Jinsheng/Work duplicate sign/Jinsheng Bojin (online guidance:848331077）, Please indicate the source for reprinting, investment is risky, and you should be cautious when entering the market!