Yu Yue on Jin:3.10非农收官数据来袭能否成为黄金的催化剂涨...

Mutual encouragement for capital exchange:

       I have always insisted on writing analysis and tried to make it as easy to understand as possible. Some things are written that many investors cannot understand and are meaningless. To do a good job, Yu Yue believes that it is necessarily helpful to others. Therefore, in terms of analysis, I often write some judgments on technical forms and trend lines, as well as some personal experience summaries and suggestions on direction operations. This is not for any reason, but to enable more people to learn to make their own judgments and learn effective technical analysis, which can reap profits from practical operations.

In short, we must achieve every order with a solid foundation, so that some friends who are losing money or those who are not ideal can regain their confidence. Whenever I see that following my friends can make stable money, Yu Yue Lunjin is in a very happy state. Yu Yue Lunjin believes that making money requires rhythm, and making orders requires strength. It can be said that no matter how the market goes, when we reach the pre predicted order position, there will beKThe shape of the line, as well as the structural signals, Yu Yuelun Jin has a high probability of obtaining corresponding stable profits from it. So far, the suggestions given by the teacher and the friends who came to inquire about ideas are still in a profitable state overall. This also makes teachers believe that effort and reward are proportional, and they have finally lived up to their years of immersion in the spot market research and efforts.

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Friday（3month10Daily SpotgoldNarrow volatility, currently trading at1830dollar/盎司附近，隔夜美国初请和裁员数据后，市场对美联储3Monthly interest rate hike50个基点的预期有所降温，美债收益率大跌，10年期美债收益率跌创近三周新低，美元也受到拖累，给金价提供支撑。市场普遍等待晚间将出炉的美国2月份非农就业报告，市场普遍预计美国2月就业增长可能放缓至依然稳健的水平（20.5万人），失业率料将维持在50多年低位（3.4%），工资同比增幅料从4.4%Increase to4.7%。不过，摩根士丹利首席美国分析师预计招聘的季节性波动减弱应该会拖累2月就业数据。相对而言，晚间数据差于预期的可能性略高一点，这意味着金价仍倾向于延续周四的反弹走势

　　每一波行情之后，成功者收获的是喜悦，是利润，是经验，而失败者收获的是悲哀，是亏损，是教训。一样的行情，一样的时间，不一样的结果，您属于哪一种?方向对了不怕路远，用时间见证实力，用实力赢得未来，让信任成为利润，用利润解除疑惑。市场瞬息万变，一样的K线，不一样的看法，不一样的结果，面对起起伏伏的K线，你是否迷茫，涨也怕，跌也怕。计划你的交易，交易你的计划，大道至简，心中有数，成竹在胸，才能泰然自若。



Gold Trend Analysis

　　隔夜，黄金低位反弹，超预期的初请数据使得市场的悲观预期有所减退，黄金趁势反弹至1830上方，等待非农数据的洗礼。周初的时候，我就说过这周非常关键，关键的地方就在于这个非农数据，因为非农数据的表现会直接影响到基本面情绪。我上周开始做的黄金多单，做的就是基本面情绪的转变，我押注的是基本面情绪会从悲观转向乐观，所以非农很关键。而我做多黄金，就是押注市场悲观情绪逆转，押注就业数据表现较差和美国通胀继续回落，理由是什么呢？

　　1月份非农数据爆冷更大程度上是因为统计口径的调整和劳动力囤积造成的数据异常，50多万人的非农新增就业是不可持续的，而通胀在今年上半年受基数效应的影响大概率还是会保持下行趋势，所以我认为美联储完全没必要在通胀持续回落时期就变的异常鹰派，市场情绪也不会一直维持悲观。周二周三晚上鲍威尔的言论也是可进可退，只是说有必要的时候，会加快加息步伐，而有没有必要则完全取决于数据的表现如何。结合我刚刚对数据的预期，所以我认为美联储在3月份没有加息50个基点的必要，继续维持看涨黄金不变！

Gold4小时级别，在周二晚间的下跌之后，黄金开始低位震荡运行，昨天晚上黄金的低位震荡运行从1小时级别延伸到了4小时级别，那目前的重点是延伸到4小时的震荡会怎么走?4小时的震荡取决于快慢线的表现，如果快慢线直接上0轴的话，那么4小时的震荡区间则会很大，可参考4小时图上的上行通胀，如果快慢线在0轴下方再次死叉的话，黄金则有给新低的可能，我也就有了更好的接多位置。周五本周最后一个交易日，震荡上行的同时不难看出短期的上行力度较小，伴随阴线回落，空头依旧牵制，所以日内不过分的看涨反弹延续，防范的二次回落走低。

　　黄金本周的暴跌未能延续，连续两个交易日低位震荡之后拉高，而昨天更是大幅拉升至最高1835一线，已经改变了弱势格局，从技术走势来看，没有跌破新低，而是空头止步1809后再度拉高，黄金破新低延续空头的预期就不存在了，从技术形态来看，昨天的拉升，已经止跌，而且，黄金很可能继续转涨，加之美国就业数据表现疲软，对黄金的多头预期有一定提振。不排除黄金依托1809为低点再次大涨，维持周线级别的大区间震荡局，说白了，还是个震荡。若今晚非农利好黄金收高，从周线级别来看，下周将是个涨势。

　　【黄金操作思路】经过昨天的直线拉高之后，黄金短线空头格局已变，日内非农主多。重点关注1815—1820区域的多头机会，白盘如触及布局多头，如白盘不给机会，则等美盘非农数据时，借机布局多头，下方以昨天低点做防守即可，上方多头目标还是看至1850—1860Area.


Yu Yue's Discussion on Gold - To my friends who invest, let me express my sincere words:

       When you finish reading my article, you will understand that you are looking for a teacher who can lead you to make stable money. I am not only a guiding teacher, but also a friend worth making in your life. We welcome like-minded people to come and have a long conversation! In your eyes, there is a profit of a hundred times leverage, while I am considering the risks of a vast abyss. Thinking determines the way out, and different perspectives on the market determine that you will take risks for profit. However, I will spare a single profit in order to avoid risks. The Yu Yue Lunjin team has already formulated a complete set of profits and strategies.case,Wait for you to participate and escort every penny of your profits.

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      This article is exclusively planned by gold analyst Yu Yuelun Jin. Thank you for your love and support for this article. I hope everyone can gain some insights and insights from this article! Regardless of whether the viewpoint and strategy of the article are consistent with everyone's opinions, everyone can come to me to discuss and learn together! Nothing is difficult if you put your heart into it. Please be vigilant for the same article content and fields that appear after this time period! Investment itself carries risks, reminding everyone to recognize the authoritative platform. Strength teachers, capital safety first, then consider operational risk, and finally how to make profits!