Guide Metallographer:3.10今日黄金走势分析，黄金日线收早晨之星

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　昨天美联储主席结束了他的国会证词演讲，不出意外，他果然开始对于周二的内容做出了澄清，否认了美联储确认加息50点的幅度，强调需要观察未来的数据才能做出决定，也让昨天的行情得以喘息，美股和大宗商品开始反弹。


　　另外昨天的加拿大央行也宣布停止进一步加息的动作，维持当前4.5%的利率水平不变。我们知道加拿大和美国基本是穿一条裤子的，货币政策也齐头并进，这次加国停止加息，对于市场判断美联储的政策来说也是一个参考，是否意味着鲍威尔声称的加息提速只是虚张声势呢，毕竟实际行动是不会骗人的。


　　不过需要注意的是，昨天晚上的美国2monthADP就业数据显示，增加了24.2Ten thousand people, much higher than the previous value11万，也高于预期的20万，说明就业市场还是非常紧俏的，这给周五的非农埋下了伏笔。


　　明天另外一场重头戏是，日本央行的利率决议，作为现任行长黑田东延的谢幕演出，市场普遍认为日本央行的政策不会发生变化。不过，高盛和法巴银行等少数投行认为，在黑田东彦结束10年日本央行行长任期之际，他有可能调整或取消收益率曲线控制计划。如果黑田东彦在此次会议上决定做出重大改变，他也将打破过去日本央行行长的惯例。个人认为这种可能性还是比较大的，一方面可以为下一任行长打下基础，把锅留给自己带走，同时也让日本后续的宽松政策得以延续，一举两得。不过结果就是日元会面临大升值，从而引发市场的连锁反应。


Today's Gold Data:


　　20:30U.S.A2Monthly Challenger Enterprise layoffs


　　21:30From the United States to3month4Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金周三低位震荡修正，小幅下探1809附近启稳。守住此前的低点1805上方震荡运行，没能破低进一步延续弱势，欧美盘反弹在1824.80处再承压收回低位，日线收盘小阳十字K线。局部震荡修正当中，日线第二次接近低点，从结构上来看，日线还是偏空一些，就看破位后的延续，此前的反弹暂时当作蓄势破低下行，短线节奏稍有放缓。


　　4小时图局部低位震荡修正，但好在尾盘仍收在低位，没能收复失地，使得短线今日相对偏弱一些，布林道暂时处于中轨之下运行，短线中轨是多空临界点，此位之下看空依旧，上破再调整思路，短线或许伴随迂回反复的洗盘，临界点的得与失决定短期多空方向。短线在1830之下暂时维持高空，上破再调整思路。1小时图布林道开始收口，本周五还有重磅非农数据。不排除在数据公布前进入收缩整理，空间有所收敛。考虑到目前的结构和形态趋势整体偏空，维持高空是主思路。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1827-1830Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1809-1804Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　今日黄金操作策略参考：


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1827-1830Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1820-1810Nearby, break down and take a look1805frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1806-1809Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1820-1825Nearby, break down and take a look1830frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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