Guide Metallographer:3.8Today's gold trend analysis, pay attention to the speech of Fed officials

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　昨天晚上美联储主席在参议院发表了证词，一开场，鲍威尔就提到，若整体数据暗示有必要加快紧缩，联储将准备加快加息步伐；这属于直接亮明底牌，引爆了市场。


　　另外他还讲到，历史纪录警告不可过早放松政策，联储将坚持到底；通胀还远高于目标2%，不考虑改变此目标；通胀压力高于上次会议预期，关键通胀指标核心服务通胀几无放缓迹象；联储抗通胀侧重商品、住房和服务通胀，紧缩效果可能未充分体现；


　　总之，确实是疯狂的一夜，鲍威尔发言后，美股三大指数集体收跌，道指跌1.72%S&P500Index decline1.53%, Nasdaq down1.25%。截至发稿，美元指数较日前上涨超1.2%to105.6，而大宗商品纷纷跳水。


Today's Gold Data:


　　15:00Germany1Monthly industrial output rate after quarterly adjustment


　　18:00Eurozone Q4GDPAnnual rate final value


　　18:00Quarterly employment rate in the Eurozone after quarterly adjustment in the fourth quarter


　　18:00欧洲央行行长拉加德参加活动


　　21:15U.S.A2monthADPEmployment numbers


　　21:30U.S.A1Monthly trade account


　　23:00Bank of Canada Announces Interest Rate Resolution


　　23:00Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivers monetary policy testimony


The next day03:00Federal Reserve Announces Economic Situation Brown Book


Technical analysis of gold:


Gold Yesterday1850受阻回落，日线收取大阴线，预计行情今日还延续。现在的关注点在于前低1804是否能够支撑住，如果下破，我们需要继续关注1797-1787一线的支撑情况。如果1787不破，黄金有可能会出现一波反弹，但是如果有效下破，下方空间可能还有20-30美金左右。目前，黄金的上方阻力在1828附近，小周期阻力在1823附近，如果价格没有突破这一区域，我们可以考虑空单。行情如果走弱，也不排除1818先跌一波，不过不建议这么激进做空。


　　4小时级别走势上连续大幅下跌之后目前的背离稍微有些偏大，价格也基本触及到前期的支撑带附近，小周期走势上在连续的慢跌震荡之后技术形态有开始逐步开始修复的迹象，在短线走势上会有一定的反弹修复出现，但是力度还有待考量。总的来说，短期下挫之后下方依旧具备跌幅空间，关注跌幅的延续情况，其次参与参考反抽机会跟空，下方支撑前期低点参考1804Frontline, daily attention1818附近机会可空，若欧盘不见反抽可临盘跟空继续看回落！上方关注1820Resistance, pay attention below1800的支撑情况，综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1820-1823Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1804-1800Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　3.8Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1820-1823Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1810-1805Nearby, break down and take a look1800frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1800-1803Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1810-1815Nearby, break down and take a look1820frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)