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Guide Metallographer:3.8今日黄金走势分析,鲍威尔重启加息大门

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  goldMessage interpretation:


Looking Forward to Today Wednesday(3month8day):国际黄金开盘仍有所偏弱,美元指数继续偏强触及三个月来的高点,对其产生压力,不过,经过一夜的洗礼,黄金早盘延续性力度有限,或存在获利了结和回补走强的空间,但风险也是有的,因为信号仍显示还有下行的空间和目标,故此反弹空要比低点多安全。


  另外,鉴于美元指数昨日的大涨收阳,日图看涨力度和信号再度扩大,周图也突破中轨阻力,附图指标信号看涨动力增强,上方空间打开,后市有望进一步上行,因而对于黄金来说,将还有回调走低的压力。


We will pay attention to the United States within the day2monthADPEmployment numbers(ten thousand people)And the United States1Monthly trade account(USD100mn)等数据,预期偏向利空金价,另外还需再度关注美盘十一点美联储主席鲍威尔在众议院金融服务委员会发表半年度货币政策证词,料将继续维持鹰派,而令金价走低。


Today's Gold Data:


  15:00Germany1Monthly industrial output rate after quarterly adjustment


  18:00Eurozone Q4GDPAnnual rate final value


  18:00Quarterly employment rate in the Eurozone after quarterly adjustment in the fourth quarter


  18:00欧洲央行行长拉加德参加活动


  21:15U.S.A2monthADPEmployment numbers


  21:30U.S.A1Monthly trade account


  23:00Bank of Canada Announces Interest Rate Resolution


  23:00Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivers monetary policy testimony


The next day03:00Federal Reserve Announces Economic Situation Brown Book


Technical analysis of gold:


Gold Yesterday1850受阻回落,日线收取大阴线,预计行情今日还延续。现在的关注点在于前低1804是否能够支撑住,如果下破,我们需要继续关注1797-1787一线的支撑情况。如果1787不破,黄金有可能会出现一波反弹,但是如果有效下破,下方空间可能还有20-30美金左右。目前,黄金的上方阻力在1828附近,小周期阻力在1823附近,如果价格没有突破这一区域,我们可以考虑空单。行情如果走弱,也不排除1818先跌一波,不过不建议这么激进做空。


  4小时级别走势上连续大幅下跌之后目前的背离稍微有些偏大,价格也基本触及到前期的支撑带附近,小周期走势上在连续的慢跌震荡之后技术形态有开始逐步开始修复的迹象,在短线走势上会有一定的反弹修复出现,但是力度还有待考量。总的来说,短期下挫之后下方依旧具备跌幅空间,关注跌幅的延续情况,其次参与参考反抽机会跟空,下方支撑前期低点参考1804Frontline, daily attention1818附近机会可空,若欧盘不见反抽可临盘跟空继续看回落!上方关注1820Resistance, pay attention below1800的支撑情况,综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1820-1823Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1804-1800Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


  3.8Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1820-1823Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1810-1805Nearby, break down and take a look1800frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1800-1803Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1810-1815Nearby, break down and take a look1820frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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