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Song Yiyang:3.7今日黄金走势分析,原油最新操作建议

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 【goldMarket Trend Analysis

  黄金周一反弹最高触及1858,惯性探高后承压回撤至1843确认支撑,日线收盘小阴KLine,K线实体不大,随后持续震荡回修,最终日线收得一阴线。

  黄金日线上方60日线还是起到了较为重要的压制作用,市场经过周末的沉淀消化后,也意识到上周黄金上涨状态还是偏激的,周一收阴也是市场情绪重回理性的表现。另外昨日一直强调美指有调整需求,可能成为黄金走势的一颗雷,然美指最终收阴,黄金也同样收阴,这样的状态虽然是矛盾的,但上周也一直是矛盾的,所以可见黄金的情绪化走势也在逐渐退去,回归常规的技术走势状态。目前黄金处在均线夹层中,技术上有多空转换的条件,加之从今晚起,基本面事件频多,也加大了黄金可能出现变盘的风险,但从技术角度以及基本面预期的角度来看,整体还是更倾向于出现调整回修趋势。所以日内黄金继续将上方60Daily line1858视作为关键压力位,下方目前虽然在5、20Daily line1845-1840区域有一定的支撑作用,但如果基本面偏空,或者美指在20日线处回弹,那么黄金大概率是会可能跌破5/20日线支撑带的,进而向着10Daily line1832附近去测试的可能,而一旦行情跌回均线带以下,整体根据再度转空的可能性也会逐渐增加。

  昨日黄金承压1858持续回落,尤其晚间时段,并未因美指的持续回修而呈现偏强,说明黄金的多头情绪已经逐渐淡化,市场已经意识到美指上周混乱走势的不正常状态,意识到黄金持续偏激上涨潜藏的风险,所以短期内黄金表现承压回修也是符合市场情绪上的需求的。目前行情在1844附近有止跌,此位作为前期行情的高点位,理论上提供支撑上可行的,但短线调整如果就此结束也是允许的,所以今日黄金可能会面临更大的选择。日内黄金上方关注1850附近短压,如果能翻上站稳,则短线黄金将重回偏激震荡,后面走势更多的也就需要基本面来引导。而如果行情不站回到1850上方,则短线结构重心将会随着时间推移而逐步下移,后期行情跌破1845-1844,或将向着前期的交易密集区域1830-1825进行测试的可能。

  黄金交易思路建议:激进1853附近空,反弹到1858补仓空,止损1865, Objective1845-1833下破持有。

  【crude oilMarket Trend Analysis

  原油目前在日线走势上继续维持在宽幅的区间震荡中,目前在日线走势上KThe line basically follows the short-term moving average and fluctuates upwards, with a sustained strong short-term trend. After the previous wave of upward trend in the hourly levelKThe line is temporarily maintained at a high level in a narrow range of oscillations. After continuous high and narrow range oscillations, there are signs of a slight adjustment in the technical form, which may still be present in the short-term trend A certain amount of upward space.

Operation suggestions:

  1,81.5-6Near empty, stop loss82.3, Objective80.5-80.

  2,79.6-7Nearby, stop loss79, Objective80.6-81.6.

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)

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