Guide Metallographer:3.7今日黄金走势分析，黄金冲高回落变盘了吗？

　　goldMessage interpretation:


Looking ahead to today and Tuesday(3month7day)：国际黄金早盘时段，在先行走弱触及5日均线支撑后，有所转强，美元指数日内走势偏弱收跌，以及美债10年期收益率也偏向遇阻5日均线而对其金价产生一定支撑；


　　整体来看，美元指数和美债收益率技术上显示，短期仍有继续走低的空间和预期，将会对金价产生利好支撑，但金价技术上，也面临一定的回调压力，所以，金价上方关注60Daily moving average and30日均线仍可看阻力回落，下方也仍可等待回撤触及10Daily moving average and20周均线支撑去再度看涨回升。


We will pay attention to the United States within the day1月批发销售月率以及美联储主席鲍威尔在参议院金融委员会发表半年度货币政策证词。数据预期仍将利好金价，但不管公布值如何，理论上还是偏向利好金价为主，但根据昨日数据来看，以及鲍威尔预将继续发表新鹰派的观点来看，金价反弹力度有限，或再度回落。


　　目前市场的想法和定价是，到第二季度末，利率将达到5.25-5.50%，比目前4.50-4.75%的目标利率高出75个基点。重点留意鲍威尔讲话是否会令市场对此一加息路径预期的举动造成任何偏离，来判断金价是延续反弹触及30日均线目标阻力，还是连续回撤继续遇阻回落。


Today's Gold Data:


　　11:30Federal Reserve of Australia Announces Interest Rate Decision


　　14:45Switzerland2Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment


　　15:00britain2monthHalifaxMonthly rate of housing price index after quarterly adjustment


　　16:00China2monthforeign exchangereserve


　　23:00U.S.A1Monthly wholesale sales rate


　　23:00Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivers monetary policy testimony


Technical analysis of gold:


Yesterday, gold rose and fell as scheduled, indicating significant upward pressure. Friday's gold tail sneaks into the closing bald positive line, basically breaking through1833The region, but the kinetic energy has not continued, indicating that the bullish market is starting to oscillate in the region again, waiting for guidance from non agricultural sectors. The technology is shifting from top to bottom1833Becoming the first support, which means encountering it earlier this week1833The region can still repeatedly go long. Since the breakthrough occurs in the middle of the night, there is still a second round of technical backtesting to verify the effectiveness of the breakthrough. This time1805Rebound, we also indicated that it was in place. Yesterday, we were approaching1860The region also indicates that the second round of short selling in the game will solidify the bottom.


The first wave of short selling signal on the daily chart1959fall1860Stabilizing and rebounding, so now the low rebound, which means this is the first pressure area, encountering still short shorts, followed by support1860The second highest point of rebound1881reach1890A regional high is a strong pressure, and as long as the rebound cannot break through, it is still a rebound. The flag shape of the daily line has not changed, so do not fluctuate in one day to change the outlook. So the pressure area should be the first to focus on1860Down the track, followed by up the track1881reach1890Area is sufficient. No breakthrough yesterday1860Starting to adjust, indicating significant pressure. Today, we will continue to focus on backtesting and consolidation1830Gains and losses.


The four hour, daily, and weekly charts are still in a bearish structure, but currently they are still in a short-term trend1805In terms of the rebound and the overall trend, I personally tend to be bearish towards gold, which is gold1805After the completion of the rise, there will be a sharp drop in the price. Gold since last week1805The bottom rebound has a certain degree of persistence, accompanied by a small period of breaking point. Currently, relying on the medium track, a wave of sustained rebound has emerged,4When looking at the hourly chart, the rebound critical point of the short line small step is1830. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that the main focus is to rebound and short, supplemented by a pullback and long, with a focus on the short-term above1855-1858Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1833-1830Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　3.7Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1850-1852Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1840-1835Nearby, break down and take a look1830frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1830-1833Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1840-1845Nearby, break down and take a look1850frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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