Guide Metallographer:3.7今日黄金走势分析，金价冲高回落维持震荡

Market Review:


InternationalgoldMonday(3month6day)Volatile closing price1855.06dollar/Ounces, highest price1858.07dollar/Ounces, lowest price1847.10dollar/Ounces, closing price1850.84dollar/ounce.


Interpretation of the Golden News:


The United States announced on Monday2月纽约联储全球供应链压力指数录得-0.26, lower than the previous value0.95； U.S.A1Monthly factory order rate recorded-1.6%Higher than market expectations-1.8%, previous value is1.88%。


　　纽约联储表示，全球供应链压力在2月份大幅下降，目前低于历史平均水平。大多数因素都有显著的贡献，其中最大贡献来自欧洲地区的交货时间(缩短)。该指数最近的走势表明，在经历了年初前后的短暂挫折后，全球供应链状况已恢复正常。


　　评论称，受民用飞机订单骤降拖累，美国1月制造业新订单下降，但机械和一系列其他产品的订单增加，暗示制造业可能正在重新站稳脚跟。然而，由于美联储预计将在夏季继续加息，制造业不太可能迅速好转。美元过去对美国主要贸易伙伴的货币升值，以及全球需求疲软，也削弱了制造业。


　　牛津经济研究院首席美国经济学家Michael Pearce表示，美经济比大多数政策制定者几个月前预期的要热。”他预计，美联储将在今后的三次会议上每次提高基准利率25个基点，此后美联储还可能进一步加息。这一趋势可能会减缓支出和通胀，也有可能使经济滑入衰退。鲍威尔将不得不安抚民主党人，他们担心美联储的激进加息将导致痛苦的经济衰退，同时让共和党人放心，美联储将把利率调高到足以抑制通胀的水平。


　　荷兰合作银行表示，与本周其他事件相比，周五公布的美国2月非农就业报告最有可能为美元提供新的方向。该行foreign exchangeStrategistJane Foley在一份报告中说，1月份意外强劲的就业数据促使市场上调了对美联储的利率预期，推高了美国国债收益率和美元。即将公布的2月份就业数据将表明，到底此前强劲的报告是反常现象，还是说，市场将不得不接受劳动力市场的紧张程度和相关的通胀风险明显比年初的共识更加强劲和根深蒂固的事实。


According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve3Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to4.75%-5.00%The probability of the interval is69.4%Interest rate hike50Bps to5.00%-5.25%The probability of the interval is30.6%； reach5Monthly cumulative interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is61.6%Accumulated interest rate increase75Bps to5.25%-5.50%The probability of the interval is34.9%Accumulated interest rate increase100Bps to5.50%-5.75%The probability of the interval is3.4%。


Today's Gold Data:


　　11:30Federal Reserve of Australia Announces Interest Rate Decision


　　14:45Switzerland2Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment


　　15:00britain2monthHalifaxMonthly rate of housing price index after quarterly adjustment


　　16:00China2Monthly foreign exchange reserves


　　23:00U.S.A1Monthly wholesale sales rate


　　23:00Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivers monetary policy testimony


Technical analysis of gold:


Yesterday, gold rose and fell as scheduled, indicating significant upward pressure. Friday's gold tail sneaks into the closing bald positive line, basically breaking through1833The region, but the kinetic energy has not continued, indicating that the bullish market is starting to oscillate in the region again, waiting for guidance from non agricultural sectors. The technology is shifting from top to bottom1833Becoming the first support, which means encountering it earlier this week1833The region can still repeatedly go long. Since the breakthrough occurs in the middle of the night, there is still a second round of technical backtesting to verify the effectiveness of the breakthrough. This time1805Rebound, we also indicated that it was in place. Yesterday, we were approaching1860The region also indicates that the second round of short selling in the game will solidify the bottom.


The first wave of short selling signal on the daily chart1959fall1860Stabilizing and rebounding, so now the low rebound, which means this is the first pressure area, encountering still short shorts, followed by support1860The second highest point of rebound1881reach1890A regional high is a strong pressure, and as long as the rebound cannot break through, it is still a rebound. The flag shape of the daily line has not changed, so do not fluctuate in one day to change the outlook. So the pressure area should be the first to focus on1860Down the track, followed by up the track1881reach1890Area is sufficient. No breakthrough yesterday1860Starting to adjust, indicating significant pressure. Today, we will continue to focus on backtesting and consolidation1830Gains and losses.


The four hour, daily, and weekly charts are still in a bearish structure, but currently they are still in a short-term trend1805In terms of the rebound and the overall trend, I personally tend to be bearish towards gold, which is gold1805After the completion of the rise, there will be a sharp drop in the price. Gold since last week1805The bottom rebound has a certain degree of persistence, accompanied by a small period of breaking point. Currently, relying on the medium track, a wave of sustained rebound has emerged,4When looking at the hourly chart, the rebound critical point of the short line small step is1830. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that the main focus is to rebound and short, supplemented by a pullback and long, with a focus on the short-term above1855-1858Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1833-1830Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　3.7Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1850-1852Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1840-1835Nearby, break down and take a look1830frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1830-1833Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1840-1845Nearby, break down and take a look1850frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Free benefits within the technical guidance group:The market is constantly changing every day,We have a strong analysis team, and every order we make is carefully considered and judged,To ensure that every order can be profitable and eliminated!Two to three orders per day do not require overnight prosperity,Just ask for the safety of falling into the bag!Profit is very high,I scored nine points alone,One point depends on luck,Eight points rely on strength!One or two days is luck,What about that week?Two weeks?Whether it is within the circle or in a group strategy,Or major financial websites,Team teachers are all current price lists!Daily analysis team technical guidance group, real-time announcement of daily market trends and push notifications,Real time current price list: Each entry is reasonable, evidence-based, publicly available, and can be accessed for free for group experience and inspection!


　　(Add Guide Gold Master（WX:zns83721 QQ:3096653915）After,Free application for direct group experience. Daily current price3-5single)I solemnly promise to add my friend to the guide's gold teacher,Just let me shout if you want me to,I can also tell you the correct single making techniques and mentality,Various solutions for lock orders. This is the key to turning your losses into profits!


Free benefits within the technical guidance group:


① Daily updates:Market trends and intraday reminders,Opportunities for warehouse building.


② Featured columns:Private Q&A,solution τ,Analyze the trend of the day.


③ Welfare delivery:Golden Short Line Opportunity Layout,Continuous tracking(Band opening)。


④ New fan benefits:Trading tactics《KThe King of Online Trading,Teach you how to do a good job in the short term


Non personal firm offer customers, providing general direction and expectations. Trend analysis and operational ideas are updated every day. Those who need to assess their strength can go and see them, and those who need to see suggestions can follow the guide. The gold engineer can go and see them on their own without charging. Once you have considered it, you can proceed with the firm offer. If you feel that I cannot help you or have any questions, you can continue to investigate, so as not to waste everyone's time with each other. After all, time is precious, It's not for waste.


Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above