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Song Yiyang:3.6黄金多头奋力攀升有望延续升势,周初金油分...

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Monday(3month6Daily Spotgold微跌,现交投于1853美元附近,这在预期之中,主要受到短线技术面的回调压力,上周金价周五攀升至两周高点,并迎来五周以来的首次周度上涨,现货黄金上周已经上涨了约2.2%,一周内的涨幅从低到高也达50美金之逾,因为美元和美国公债收益率回落,为受美联储进一步加息前景打压的金市提供了一些喘息机会。

  在非农就业数据以及失业率数据公布之前,黄金大跌的趋势势不会再次启动,不过需要注意的是,在多头没有彻底的反转之前,仍有可能是一次空头的洗盘动作,多头站稳需要站稳1875上方,也是黄金上月最后下跌上行的最高点附近,此处多空交易量较大,有良好的支撑及压力,需要重点关注,本周将迎来美国2月职位空缺数据、2月份非农就业报告、美联储主席鲍威尔的半年度国会证词、澳大利亚央行利率决议、加拿大央行利率决议和日本央行利率决议,可谓是一个超级周。

  黄金目前在日线走势上走出连续的反弹之后技术形态修复完成前期的下跌走势被终结掉,在短线走势上关注下1865一带的压力带。小时级别走势上周五尾盘一波冲高触及到前期的压力带附近之后走出小幅回落,目前K线开始逐步击破短周期均线在短线走势上还有一定的下行空间。周五在走出前期1845一带的联排压力带之后走出惯性拉升,今天的区间可能会被压缩在1845-1865之间,关注下回踩之后的二次拉升情况。

Gold Operation Strategy: Rebound1855-1857Short and defend nearby1863Look at the target below1845-1843; retracement 1845Go long nearby, defend1840Next, look up at the target1855-1860;

  crude oilTrend analysis:

From80.59起的行情可视为3-3浪下行,为方便分析,我们可将3-3浪再次细分,依据现有行情可知,目前行情已走完3-3-1浪,正处于3-3-2浪反弹之中,目前行情于阶段性高点79.85附近录得看跌吞没形态,短线反弹或已结束,但根据波浪理论可知:2浪一般会以锯齿浪呈陡直调整或以平台型调整浪呈横向调整,目前判定3-3-2浪结束尚为时过早,后续走势仍存些许不确定性。下方关注77.50-7600-75.00Support, attention from above80.60-82.60Resistance.

  短线操作建议:建议可于79.60轻仓跟进空单,止损80.20, look at the goal78.60-77.60!

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)

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