Guide to gold analyst: today's gold trend analysis, Friday's gold may exceed imagination

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　本周虽然没有非农，但从昨天公布的美国当周初请失业金人数来看，公布值19万人，对比前值的19.2And expected values19.5再次下降，表明劳动力市场持续走强，这可能促使美联储继续加息。最新的数据显示，目前仍没有迹象表明，大规模裁员(主要发生在科技行业)对劳动力市场产生了实质性影响。


　　另外，美联储理事沃勒表示，如果就业和通胀数据没有从1月份的强劲数据中回落，美联储可能需要提高利率，超过12month5.1-5.4%的预期中值。亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克称，美联储可能在今年夏季中后期暂停加息。这两个讲话看起来矛盾，其实意思是一样的，夏季中后期再暂停加息，意味着可能还有3次的加息出现，对于美元的上涨预期会有极大的提振。


Today's Focus Data:


　　15:00Germany1Monthly adjusted trade account


　　15:45France1Monthly industrial output rate


　　16:50France2Monthly service industryPMIFinal value


　　16:55Germany2Monthly service industryPMIFinal value


　　17:00eurozone2Monthly service industryPMIFinal value


　　17:30britain2Monthly service industryPMI


　　18:00eurozone1monthPPIMonthly rate


　　22:45U.S.A2monthMarkitService industryPMIFinal value


　　23:00U.S.A2monthISMNon manufacturingPMI


　　24:00美联储洛根在一场活动上致开幕词


The next day04:00美联储理事鲍曼发表讲话


The next day05:45美联储巴尔金就通胀发表讲话


Technical analysis of gold:


Multiple tests every other day in gold1830The effectiveness of gateway support, followed by repeated surges1840Nearby, basically maintaining1830—1840The interval undergoes repeated oscillations. High this week1845Blocked fall back1830关口，和预期完全吻合，从当前走势来看短期可能见底，毕竟1800附近几番测试都没有跌破，现在四小时直接一根底部大阳放量拉升，从而打开布林上轨空间。加之1830关口支撑已经得到多次验证，要跌昨天就已经跌下去了，那么目前而且1830为多空分水岭，若是跌破那么跌势将快速延续。今日周五可能就会维持1830—1845The range undergoes oscillations and no major movements are expected unless it falls below1830Gateway.


　　4The current shape of the hour chart shows a slight passivation. After a bottom rebound at the beginning of the week, yesterday's space contraction was relatively small and did not go out of direction. See if the rebound hasn't broken through yet1845Looking back, there was no downward trend yesterday, and it remained at the mid track close, with a slightly higher position, resulting in insufficient short-term strength4The hourly form of long and irregular. The Asian market may still choose to wait and see, waiting for the European and American markets to break out of the appropriate range.1小时图此前一波小幅反弹之后，昨日进行回踩确认，但仍收稳在偏高的位置，使得今日并不算弱势。可能伴随冲高收低的走法。小周期形态多空来回转换当中，以临盘为准。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注1845-1847Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1828-1830Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　3.3Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1845-1848Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1835-1830Nearby, break down and take a look1828frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1828-1830Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1835-1840Nearby, break down and take a look1845frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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