Guide Metallographer:2.21Today's gold trend analysis, Lao Bai's sudden visit to Kiev, golden jump...

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　昨天是美国的总统日，美盘市场提前休市，所以我们看到整体的交投量是比较清淡的。


　　消息面上，据媒体报道周一拜登突访乌克兰，在战事爆发一周内之际，宣布美国将向乌克兰提供约5亿美元的援助。据俄罗斯方面称，在拜登访问基辅之前，美国与俄罗斯进行了接触，以排除可能导致两国直接对抗的误判。


　　在这个时间点宣布加大援助，也说明了美国其实不想看到战斗的结束，而是要继续拱火，那么对于能源和大宗商品市场来说，想要价格大幅回落就很难实现。


　　美国内部方面，自去年3月以来，美联储已经连续加息八次，累计加息450个基点。尽管美联储尽了最大努力加息来抑制通胀，然而一系列数据表明劳动力市场依然强劲，通胀依然顽固，1月非农新增就业远超预期，零售消费环比也超预期增长，1monthCPI同比回落则不及预期


　　这些都证明表明美联储抗通胀的仍未完成，需要继续提高利率，而更高的实质利率则会危及股票和债券市场。同时也会对贵金属有所压制。


Today's Focus Data:


　　15:00Switzerland1Monthly trade account


　　16:15France2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value


　　16:30Germany2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value


　　17:00eurozone2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value


　　17:30britain2Monthly manufacturing and service industryPMI


　　18:00Germany2monthZEWEconomic Sentiment Index


　　18:00eurozone2monthZEWEconomic Sentiment Index


　　19:00britain2monthCBIIndustrial order difference


　　21:30Canada1monthCPIMonthly rate


　　21:30Canada12Monthly retail sales rate


　　22:45U.S.A2monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIinitial value


　　22:45U.S.A2monthMarkitService industryPMIinitial value


　　23:00U.S.A1Annualized total monthly housing sales


Technical analysis of gold:


Trading was light on Monday, and the US market is closed for the President's Day holiday. Gold continued its strong trend of late Friday trading yesterday, continuing to fluctuate and rise, with a high point measuring pressure to1847On the first line, although the overall bullish expectation is retained, there is limited space, indicating that the short-term market is only a technical rebound and does not necessarily change the bearish expectation of the midline trend. From the trend of the intraday hourly chart, the upper part is1847There is pressure on the front line, and this position belongs to the daily level60From the daily pressure level, it can be seen that the short-term trend is still based on technical trends.


Currently, gold is60Daily line1845The first line is blocked, but the market on the hour chart is more inclined towards the small level head, shoulder, bottom, and neck positions that are expected to be under pressure1845Under pressure on the front line, a pullback adjustment is technically necessary, but currently the short-term bullish sentiment in the market is relatively strong, so there may not be much room for a pullback. It was originally expected that the top, bottom, and right shoulder positions would be1835-30Regional, but after digesting the high volatility of the intraday market, there may be a rise in the right shoulder. Pay attention to the following1834Frontline support testing can consider this position as an ideal retreat position. Overall, in today's gold short-term operation guidelines, gold analysts suggest a pullback and long selling as the main approach, supplemented by a rebound and short selling, with a focus on short-term trading above1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1835Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.21Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1850-1855Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1845-1840Nearby, break down and take a look1835frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1837-1839Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1845-1850Nearby, break down and take a look1855frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Non personal firm offer customers, providing general direction and expectations. Trend analysis and operational ideas are updated every day. Those who need to assess their strength can go and see them, and those who need to see suggestions can follow the guide. The gold engineer can go and see them on their own without charging. Once you have considered it, you can proceed with the firm offer. If you feel that I cannot help you or have any questions, you can continue to investigate, so as not to waste everyone's time with each other. After all, time is precious, It's not for waste.


Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above