Song Yiyang:2.20What do you think of the trend of gold in the evening? Recommendations for operation of gold crude oil

Mondaygold行情趋势分析：

Last Friday(2month17day)International gold prices continue to decline and hit last year's record12New low since the end of the month1818.69dollar/盎司，原因是投资者担心美联储在一系列强劲的经济数据公布后会进一步加息。美联储官员甚至表示，2月份加息力度不够。本周公布的数据显示美国零售销售走强和消费者价格高企，似乎正在推动预期重估市场认为美联储将变得更加鹰派，这对黄金非常不利。在此背景下实际利率已经反弹，因此非孳息资产黄金一直在下跌。多名美联储官员本周表示，货币政策需要保持紧缩，才能将通胀率降至美联储的2%Goal. Two Federal Reserve officials on Thursday(2month16day)The Federal Reserve should have raised interest rates more significantly at the beginning of this month.

Gold has shown weakness this week, without a major level of stabilization, and the upward trend is just a flash in the pan, which is a manifestation of weakness. The washing of gold prices, due to a rise but lack of stabilization, has led to a trend of market washing. Gold continued to be under pressure after breaking through the previous low and volatile range on the daily trend. The short-term moving average weakened and touched the previous daily line within the day1820After a small rebound near the support belt in the area, pay attention to the strength of the rebound at this position on the daily line. On the daily trend, prices have fallen below the previous low volatility range and are currently under pressure1840After a continuous decline, there are signs of starting to stabilize slightly, and there may be some room for rebound and repair in the short-term trend.

　　周一黄金操作策略：

　　1Suggest a rebound1850-1853Short selling in batches on the first line, stop loss1856Look at the target below1840-35frontline;

　　2Suggest stepping back1833-1830Long on the front line in batches, stop loss1827On the target1845-48frontline;

　　crude oilLatest market trend analysis:

Monday（2month20日）欧盘时段，美原油震荡反弹，目前交投于77.34dollar/桶附近，亚洲股市普遍上涨，提升了市场对中国需求复苏持乐观态度，分析师预计，由于运输燃料需求增加以及新炼厂投产，中国的原油进口量将在2023年创下历史新高。高盛在2month19日的报告中称，未来的石油供应短缺可能会推动油价在今年年底达到每桶100美元。不过，对于美联储进一步加息的预测，仍令原油多头有所顾忌。亚洲股市普遍上涨，提升了市场对中国需求复苏持乐观态度，分析师预计，由于运输燃料需求增加以及新炼厂投产，中国的原油进口量将在2023年创下历史新高。高盛在2month19日的报告中称，未来的石油供应短缺可能会推动油价在今年年底达到每桶100USD. 不过，对于美联储进一步加息的预测，仍令原油多头有所顾忌。技术面仍然偏向空头。本交易日因华盛顿诞辰，美国原油市场将提前休市，或将令市场交投受到一些限制。

　　原油技术面分析：原油上周小阴线回落，周初横向整理。周尾回落，周线目前进入阴阳循环震荡当中，多空持续性不强，拉锯迂回反复是近期的主格调。日线则继续处于宽幅区间82.50-72.50之间来回，上周五回落后，目前处于区间的中性位置76.50.正中值。往上往下都有一定距离，短期未突破区间则还看在区间内拉锯震荡。4小时图一波回落之后，短线在80.50附近有所受压。但考虑到近期的反复拉锯性，暂时也看不出强弱延续。在亚盘时段很难看出单边方向，操作上尽量把时间点放到欧美盘，多空转换瞬息万变，结合形态临盘再决定操作位置。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上宋奕洋建议以回踩低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注78.2-78.7Frontline resistance, short-term focus below76.0-75.5Frontline support.

Author/Song Yiyang

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Song Yiyang explains a set online,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.