Guide Metallographer:2.20今日黄金走势分析，靓丽数据与鹰声施压有限

　　goldMessage interpretation:


Looking ahead to this Monday(2month20day)：国际黄金开盘先行窄幅波动，美元指数及美债10年期收益率对于上周五的冲高回落倒垂线，短线走势有一定的承压预期，另外，由于投资者在期待的美国通胀报告发布之前不愿大举押注，所以目前的下行空间仍然有限。而又令金价有一定的看涨意愿，但今日为美国股市和债市将因总统日休市，交易活动可能低迷，波动空间有限。


　　但整体来看，美元指数周图仍有走强收阳空间，因而金价反弹仍需关注阻力压制可先行再看回落，稳健看涨则需等待本周再度回落触底，或下周再度走强。


　　关注上，本周市场将密切关注美国PCE物价指数、美国第四季度GDP修正值、美联储上次会议纪要以及美联储官员讲话等重要数据和事件，以从中获取有关未来货币政策前景的蛛丝马迹。


　　周二将关注美国2月份制造业和服务业PMI初值。虽然目前市场预期有所增强利空金价，但这两个行业的总体采购经理人指数(PMI)预计将低于50，表明私营部门的商业活动正在持续收缩。压力有限，但如低于预期的整体PMI数据，以及揭示私营部门就业人数下降的就业相关评论，可能令美元承压，并帮助金价小幅走高。


　　周三，美盘尾部时段，美联储将公布上次政策会议的记录。值得关注的是，一些政策制定者是否认为美联储有必要重新考虑加息50个基点，以防他们看到足够的证据表明通胀放缓是暂时的。这样的发展可能会恢复对下次会议加息50个基点的押注，并严重拖累黄金的表现。不过，市场不太可能在3月会议前过多解读会议纪要，届时将公布修订后的预测摘要，预计影响有限。


　　周四，美国经济分析局(BEA)将公布对第四季度国内生产总值(GDP)的第一次修正值，初值为2.9%。值得注意的是，GDP大幅修正的情况非常罕见。关注实际公布值情况，另外还有开盘前FOMC永久票委、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯就遏制通胀问题发表讲话。值得关注。


　　最后，周五美联储通货膨胀指标--个人消费支出物价指数(PCE)，目前市场预期核心PCE指数预计将环比上升0.4%But1月份的同比增速预计将从12月份的增长4.4%Reduce to growth4.3%。根据上次通胀数据的公布情况看，仍将显示通胀居高不下，再加上美国2月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值或继续产生震荡行情走盘。


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金上周持续阴跌调整，低点跌至1818一线，周五晚盘行情有所反弹，最终回到1840上方，日线收得一带有长下影线的阳线。


From the perspective of daily structure, last week gold has been bullish, mixed with a cross star line, resulting in a stalemate between bulls and bears. The main manifestation is that bulls have a deliberate rebound but do not have actual and effective momentum, and the fundamentals do not have absolute positive support, resulting in insufficient confidence, limited momentum follow-up, and no strong bearish fundamentals. This also leads to bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bear, However, maintaining this bearish trend in the short term is sufficient, and the later market also requires more time cycles to digest. Technically, gold has arrived in the main target area we had anticipated earlier1830-20One area, and1820有刺破动作，也预示空头的相对偏强状态。周五行情回撤至趋势线支撑位，技术指标超跌，且又有底部背离信号，加之周内一直阴跌下行，所以周五的回弹更像是技术性的超跌反弹，带有一定的报复回弹情绪，所以周五收阳也就不足为其。从日线结构来看，本周黄金大概率是会有延续回弹的，上方先关注5Daily line1843Nearby competition, this position has already been pierced last Friday, so the probability of breaking through this pressure within the week will also increase. Therefore, the upper level can pay more attention60Daily line1847/48附近压力，10Daily line1853-55Nearby pressures may become short-term suppressions, so watching the performance of these two pressures measured at the beginning of the week may also be related to the impact of Thursday's Federal Reserve meeting minutes.


　　结合小时图走势，周五晚盘黄金的上涨，走出一个头肩底的雏形，左肩位1830-27，头部1820-18，颈部位1843-45，按此形态预期，本周初下方1830附近可视作为右肩位，行情回撤1835-30一带便可能会止步，而1843-45颈部位一旦突破，则上方或将再有10-15美金左右空间，即可延伸至1855-60一带，而此位也刚好是10日线附近压力，以及前期两日大阴线下跌的低点位，所以本周可将1855-60一带视作为多头反弹的终极压力位。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注1855-1860Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1835Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.20Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1855-1860Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1850-1845Nearby, break down and take a look1840frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1835-1837Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1845-1850Nearby, break down and take a look1860frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above