Guide Metallographer:2.16今日黄金走势分析，技术面与基本面皆利空

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　早些时候黄金持续上涨，刷新九个月新高，主要因市场预期美联储将放缓加息步伐，以及押注美联储可能在年内降息，另外对地缘局势以及经济衰退的担忧，也为金价提供支撑。


Enter2The United States announced at the beginning of the month1The monthly non farm payroll data performed significantly better than expected, which directly weakened the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates within the year and strengthened the market's expectation for further interest rate hikes. After the data was released, Federal Reserve officials also repeatedly made hawkish speeches, reiterating that the Federal Reserve should continue to raise interest rates until inflation returns2%The target level.


　　周二美国公布1monthCPIThe data, both year-on-year and month on month increases, exceeded market expectations, reflecting significant uncertainty in US inflation. After the data was released, Federal Reserve officials continued to deliver hawkish speeches, reiterating the need to continue raising interest rates to curb inflation, and the peak interest rate depends on future economic data.


　　随着基本面的变化，市场预期美联储可能进一步加息，以及在更长的时间里维持高利率，这帮助美元从九个月低位反弹，刷新最近一个月新高，而同期黄金从九个月高位下跌，刷新最近一个月新低。


Today's Focus Data:


　　21:30From the United States to2month11Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


　　21:30U.S.A1monthPPIAnnual and monthly rates


　　21:30U.S.A1Annualized total monthly construction of new houses


　　21:30U.S.A1Total monthly construction permits


　　21:30U.S.A2Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index


The next day02:30Fed Brad delivers a speech


Technical analysis of gold:


After a brief rebound yesterday, gold continued to decline and decline, with a slight drop below1830Nearby, overall decline within the day is close30The US dollar finally closed at a solid saturation negative line on the daily basis, falling below it throughout the day60Daily support. Gold continued to decline on Wednesday, ending lower and rebounding1860The checkpoint continues to decline and continue to decline, further breaking through the previous day's low point in the afternoon1843Continuing a very weak downward trend on the first line, the US market was ultimately weak and sideways1831-1837Regional shock consolidation, dailykThe line closed lower and broke through the middle of the day, with the overall price finally experiencing a unilateral bearish downward trend after a wide range of fluctuations and saw saws the previous day, and the closing was suppressed1845-50Extremely weak operation below, short-term break1850The downward space at the checkpoint has been completely opened up, and today we will rely on the counterattack1850Front line defense continues to follow the trend, looking down from the main air, with the top pressure position1843-45Strong resistance suppression is also a weak watershed for recent bearish positions1850Pass, as long as the daily closing level fails to break through and stabilize1850At the checkpoint, any backdraft is an opportunity to short, keeping the rhythm of the main empty position unchanged;


Combining with the trend of the hour chart, gold fell to1830After the first line, it has been basically in a low and narrow range of fluctuations, so it can only be used to stop the decline. The downward divergence of the hourly chart level moving average has further increased the market's bearish expectations, but currently gold has fallen to1830It is also expected that there will be a rebound with support, which is understandable. In the early trading session, gold experienced a rebound, but the expected rebound will not change the downward trend brought by yesterday's negative line, and its rebound space will be very limited. Above, focus on the low point of the previous wave of decline1843-45Nearby testing, and if combined with daily charts,1845Nearby is also the current60The daily line is in place, and yesterday the negative line fell through and fell below this level. It is reasonable to rebound from this level today to confirm the pressure. If this level is broken, the upper level should focus on it5Daily line1848-50Nearby pressure, if this position is also taken by the bulls, then the short term counterattack of the bulls can also form a trend. It is understandable for gold to see a rebound in the day, but the rebound amplitude will not be very large. Please pay attention to it above1844/45Nearby short pressure, high pressure above attention1848-50One area, still pay attention below1833-30Nearby support, but still retaining the market may expand the retreat space, to1825The possibility of a further decline in the vicinity still depends on the strength of the US index's rise. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that the main focus is to rebound and short, supplemented by a pullback and long, with a focus on the short-term above1850-1852Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1825Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.16Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1848-1850Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1835-1830Nearby, break down and take a look1825frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1830-1832Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1840-1845Nearby, break down and take a look1850frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above