Wednesday(2month15day),国际金价重新走低,创1month6Recently, it has reached a new low1831.13dollar/盎司,因数据显示上月美国通胀下降势头放缓,加剧了投资者对美联储将坚持货币政策从紧的担忧。但考虑到潜在衰退前景,美联储很难重新加速升息,1月份美国消费者物价指数(CPI)Month on month increase0.5%,符合预期;同比上涨6.4%,尽管创下2021year10月以来的最小涨幅,但高于预期的6.2%。美联储官员周二表示,美联储需要继续逐步加息以战胜通胀。在可预见的未来,美联储进一步收紧货币政策有可能对黄金造成压力,但考虑到潜在衰退前景,美联储很难重新加速升息,金价下跌势头很难变得更陡。最近的收益率曲线倒挂加剧了人们对即将到来的经济衰退的担忧,并对全球风险情绪造成了影响。避险情绪从股市普遍走弱的基调中可以明显看出,并可能为避险贵金属提供一些支撑。尽管如此,基本面似乎倾向于看跌交易者,并表明黄金阻力最小的路径是下行。本交易日,投资者将迎来素有“恐怖数据”之称的美国零售销售数据,预计将再度引发市场波动。
黄金技术面分析;黄金周二上演剧烈过山车。伴随反复的冲高回落,再配合下探回升,创出近期新低至1843.Still drawing back in the late trading session and closing at a neutral position1850Above, daily closing cross starKLine, no valid entityK线,不过整体节奏符合向下慢跌的预期。剧烈的震荡也就带来了短线的机会。在未突破1872临界点之下,保持高空是目前的主思路,4小时图一根上下影线都较长的十字K线,过渡了消息面的行情,短线仍回归区间内震荡,看似走出新低,但持续性仍是一个问题,并不是极弱的单边下跌,而是慢跌,更长时间是洗盘拉锯。而目前趋势暂时还处于1889.50二浪高点的下跌趋势当中。此位不破。空头不改。小时图布林道继续收口,将区间稍微扩大了一些,但未改震荡节奏,综上所述,黄金今日短期操作思路上宋奕洋建议上方短期重点关注1860-1865Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1827-1822Frontline support.
原油在日线走势上目前继续维持在宽幅的区间震荡中,在4On the trend of hourly levelK线走出前期的高位的震荡区间目前维持较好的空头发散形态,小时级别走势上目前K线基本是贴着短周期均线在走震荡下行,在短期走势上的下跌空间大概率是还没有走完的。操作建议:78.3-4Near empty, stop loss79.1, Objective77.3-76.3.
Author/Song Yiyang
(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)